calling range vs river check-raise? 25nlFR

villain is loose 18-14ish but reg and winning. He doesn't check-raise much and tends to play rivers pretty straightforward. He steals 35%, his stack is cos he has been getting his money in good a lot.

call 44? how about AQ? or is this way too optimistic.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (9 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP3 ($7.96)
(CO) ($83.93)
Hero (Button) ($25)
SB ($25.92)
BB ($11.28)
UTG ($10)
UTG+1 ($10.76)
MP1 ($28.96)
MP2 ($21)

Preflop: Hero is BU with X, X
5 folds, CO bets $0.70, Hero calls $0.70, 2 folds

Flop: ($1.75) 3:heart:, 4:spade:, Q:club: (2 players)
CO checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($1.75) 2:club: (2 players)
CO checks, Hero bets $1.17, CO calls $1.17

River: ($4.09) J:spade: (2 players)
CO checks, Hero bets $3.75, CO raises to $9

Sigh his range is JJ - call with QQ+.

can he not be A5/56/JJ/air?

It's a very strange line for a decent reg to ever take with 56s or A5s unless he has an obviously low c bet. Air seems so unlikely when he doesn't c bet this board or stab the turn, like it just makes no sense. The only bluff I see him having here are some 99 88 etc stuff, but you see that so rarely here it just also makes no sense. If he turns some club draw or w/e surely he either c bets his air on the flop or leads the turn a huge amount of the time. HE JUS HAZ JJ!!!

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Carroters

Sigh his range is JJ - call with QQ+.

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this is pretty much what i was thinking but i'd have a hard time folding a set.

idk id just fucking call his sizing is small and if he had a real hand why didnt be bet flop or something or even donk flop i remember playing 25nl and every fucking time someone flopped a set theyd donk pot into me