10nl Small flush vs flop 3bet AI

Villain is pretty much unknown, stats are 16/14 AFq 63 over 50 hands


PokerStars - $0.10 NL (9 max) - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

MP+1: $7.00
CO: $1.19
Hero (BTN): $10.03
SB: $11.13
BB: $10.93
UTG: $7.17
UTG+1: $13.85
MP: $8.62

SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero has 8:spade: 7:spade:

UTG calls $0.10, fold, MP calls $0.10, fold, CO calls $0.10, Hero calls $0.10, fold, BB checks

Flop: ($0.55, 5 players) 3:spade: 9:spade: K:spade:
BB checks, UTG checks, MP bets $0.20, fold, Hero raises to $0.99, fold, fold, MP raises to $8.52 and is all-in, Hero ?

i cant see a range for him to limp and shove here besides 33,Axss,QTss,QJss,JTss.

Add 99, 56ss, and maybe AsKx, KxQs, KxJs, and of course, AA/KK (Like 10NL is not full of people who slow play AA/KK preflop).

Of the extra hands I added, I guess I find AsKx the most unlikely as he seems to have raised his good hands over your micro sample. Then again, a lot of that may have been opening/position raising.

I'm probably folding.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by bikes

I'm probably folding.

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so by giving him here this range for shoving : "A2s,A4ss,A5ss,A6ss,ATss,QJss,QTss,JTss,33,99" i am not too tight with his range,like people say that i tend to put opps in too narrow ranges?

what 's your calling range here besides Axss?

like the Qx of spades and the Ax of spades. i would consider calling the flop and if i raised i dunno if id pick this size

given how awful a price he's given us, i reckon this would be a fold. though cbf formulating a range in stove. 33 would probably be close to the bottom of his range, and even that has ~35% against us. i wouldn't expect to see naked As hands here often, if ever, add in all the Axss,JTss,QJss,QTss he potentially limps in and i doubt we're in too good shape (or least not compared to what we need to be given the size of the jam)

thought so, that's why i posted it , even if won it, seeing the hand after end session seemed like a mistake calling. ty all, still have a lot to learn about spoting +EV plays w/o a stove.

looks more like 33 than a fllush imo given small stats sample. I wouldn't be expecting MP to limp suited connectors/Axss. but anyway if he doesn't have 33 then obv we are crushed and he can outdraw with 33 anyway.

mm puke fold, id call up to 5.5$ here