200nl Thin River Spot?

villain is running std tag 16/13. Turn is definitely a value bet, everyone floats gutter's these days so I expect him to call any pair. All the gutters brick again OTR, do I check here or go for value against JJ, 99, JTs, ATs and QTs?

Poker Stars $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players -

BTN: $200.00
SB: $201.00
BB: $207.30
UTG: $410.00
UTG+1: $200.00
MP1: $80.00
Hero (MP2): $200.00
CO: $468.10

Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is MP2 with Q :spade: Q :club:
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $5, 1 fold, Hero calls $5, 2 folds, SB calls $4, 1 fold

Flop: ($17.00) T :club: 2 :diamond: K :spade: (3 players)
SB checks, UTG+1 bets $12, Hero calls $12, SB folds

Turn: ($41.00) 4 :club: (2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $26, UTG+1 calls $26

River: ($93.00) 8 :diamond: (2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero?

betting the river seems too thin for me without reads that he calls three streets with middle pair. though i've never played 200nl and know nothing about the regs/dynamics there.

He'd have to be out of his mind to call with worse.

I'd say your equity is < 50% here.

ez check imo thus i checked, FR nits seem to like checking TP twice here. dunno why

I`m not sure if we should be betting the turn here with this hand.
Do you expect people will frequently ch-call Tx or JJ on the turn in these positions, and always 2barrel Kx+ on the turn?

16 on turn

If you don't like your line. You can check back the turn and bet the river.

I think I probably check the turn vs utg1 range, but betting seems ok. Certainly check the river.