Good resteal with 95s vs loose isolator?

Live hand that I am unsure about now:
We are 8 handed with 100/200/25ante , plenty far from the money,
in a 58€ + 25€ Mtt with 10K starting stacks and 10K rebuy (for less than half of the original buyin which seems weird...) Me + villain both still have rebuys.
There are two limps from players who play faceup who have mediocre / downright shit hands 95% of the time (both cover me, as well as blinds yet to act), and a 3rd Turkish guy isolates them to 1250 in the Hijack.
He isolated and c-bet 82o on the button to 2 limpers and showed earlier, has been in a lot of pots. He also isolated 2+ limpers and shoved for greater than pot on KK6r with K9o so I assume he is isolating "for value" wide as well.

My image is clean. Folds to me on the button with 7200 and 95s.
Sure my hand has no good blockers but at the same time I have pretty good equity vs overcards (dude snap googles it on his iphone after hand, 35-38%). He thinks about it for a bit, decides I have Jacks and says "I think this is a coinflip" and calls AQ just to give you an idea of his likely calling range. I obviously ran into the top of his (perceived) range.

My one problem with thoughts below is how to factor in the times the blinds wake up with a hand or the times the original limpers are trapping (pretty unlikely by my read)

Do you like this play / think my assumptions are reasonable?

My thoughts: (in white)
So Pot Size if I get folds would be
200(antes)+200+200+200+100+1250 = 2150 in the pot

I get 7.2K into a pot of 15.3K with 28.8% equity vs 88, ATs, KQs, AQo which is probably his range at the widest even if he is a little gamble happy.

So I return 4,400 chips of the 7200 I put in for a loss of 2800 when called. This means I need to get folds about 56% of the time. Probably more like 60% of the time from him to account for times limpers were trapping or blinds pick up a hand. I figure blinds to call JJ, AK or so.

with rebuys especially with the weird rebuys here, i would assume their calling way wider then normal, so i wouldn't be bluffing much, but rather betting for value with a bit wider range.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by fulksy

with rebuys especially with the weird rebuys here, i would assume their calling way wider then normal, so i wouldn't be bluffing much, but rather betting for value with a bit wider range.

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Yea, I do agree my play is horrible if he calls with most Ax and alot of kings, more pairs, etc.

Yea, turns out I don't understand rebuy tournaments because you could rebuy within the first 3 levels or 1 1/2 hours and you had a little rebuy card. But you could also use it as an add on adding 10K chips to your stack at any point for 25€. I wanted to gamble / push for chips so that I could use the really cheap rebuy if necessary or build a stack. Turns out I could have sat there and added 10K to my stack:rolleyes: Pretty sure these are not standard rules for a single rebuy / second chance tourney or do I just not understand rebuys (never play 'em)?

There was an awesome moment when I showed my hand, a more awesome moment when there was a 5 in the window, and a much less awesome moment when a queen and ace turned up on the flop as well :(

sorry I tried to read it 4 times and failed... what are the blinds?

Quote:

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Originally Posted by drmcboy

sorry I tried to read it 4 times and failed... what are the blinds?

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uh really? well sure . . .

2nd line "We are 8 handed with 100/200/25ante , plenty far from the money. . ."

I should rephrase - I tried to post my thoughts but did not because the post is poorly organized with lots of extra detail that adds confusion. I think if you divide the reads/other info from the hand itself it will be much clearer and might get more replies.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by drmcboy

I should rephrase - I tried to post my thoughts but did not because the post is poorly organized with lots of extra detail that adds confusion. I think if you divide the reads/other info from the hand itself it will be much clearer and might get more replies.

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ah thanks, ok will do in future. I kinda thought you weren't serious but decided to see :rolleyes: