AJ tp3k on tt river - shove?

villain is 33-13 over 20. He's seen me check-raise some draw and then get it in on the river when i hit. Squeeze pre should probably be standard, but not always cos i miss some value and it's like 5:1 on the call. HJ caller is 14-10 unimaginative reg with 60% W$WSD so he's not going to be any trouble. Flop i check-raise for value vs his Ace-crap and his sticky 88-JJ types of hands. Turn more value, should this just be an overbet shove?

River too thin? i mean, i'm pot committed, but am i better to let him check-back?

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (8 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button ($25)
SB ($25.78)
Hero (BB) ($27.31)
UTG ($25.90)
UTG+1 ($19.22)
MP1 ($12.67)
MP2 ($32.98)
CO ($25.47)

Preflop: Hero is BB with Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...lies/spade.gif, Jhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...ilies/club.gif
2 folds, MP1 bets $0.50, 1 fold, CO calls $0.50, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.25

Flop: ($1.60) 3http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...lies/heart.gif, Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...lies/heart.gif, 5http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...es/diamond.gif (3 players)
Hero checks, MP1 bets $0.25, 1 fold, Hero raises to $2.35, MP1 calls $2.10

Turn: ($6.30) 7http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...lies/heart.gif (2 players)
Hero bets $5, MP1 calls $5

River: ($16.30) Khttp://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...es/diamond.gif (2 players)
Hero bets $16.30,

I think once you make that turn bet and create that spr, then you have to bet the river (vs this specific player of course). If he doesn't have a draw then he's probably not folding to the river bet imo, but he'll check back a bunch of shit that would call a bet.

Not sure I like an overbet shove on the turn without more specific reads. I like the bet you made though.

wp

I'm not really sure he calls the river with enough worse... It's possible though I guess. Doesn't the fact he has seen you c/r a draw mean he could put you on hearts which would strengthen his calling range for the turn a great deal? I think turn is kind of interesting and I'm not really sure what the best play/bet size is.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Donachello

I'm not really sure he calls the river with enough worse... It's possible though I guess. Doesn't the fact he has seen you c/r a draw mean he could put you on hearts which would strengthen his calling range for the turn a great deal? I think turn is kind of interesting and I'm not really sure what the best play/bet size is.

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keep in mind villain has like $7 on the river

oh, i should probably read OPs.
yeah jamming the turn is fine but so is bet bet

so we cr flop, bet almost pot on the turn, why do we bet river? we are behind and river is like blank considering his stack size, i want to cf river, even if he has QQ hes so scared he wont bet it if we check river

edit: actually why bet turn so big

Villain's flop play looks like a fish on a draw. I'd be inclined to b/f smallish on the turn and river.