A9 on A3395 vs nit - river sizing? 25nl

villain is 11-6 over 30, low fold to cbet, no significant pots, he bought in for $20. Everything in this hand super-standard? FWIW i run like 8-8 from utg+1 so this is a non-standard occasional open

Does this look like an ok range for villain? 33/99/AK/AQ/AJs/some weird TT-QQ. He may have seen me river bluff air like 2/3 pot in a tiny pot before, but nothing hugely out of line.
sizing good to generate a call from the stuff in his range i beat? Should i just bet $12 to put him in?

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (9 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

SB ($10.78)
BB ($27.97)
UTG ($26.32)
Hero (UTG+1) ($51.76)
MP1 ($19.30)
MP2 ($25)
MP3 ($59.91)
CO ($14.07)
Button ($15.10)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...ilies/club.gif, 9http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...ilies/club.gif
1 fold, Hero bets $0.85, MP1 calls $0.85, 2 folds, CO calls $0.85, 3 folds

Flop: ($2.90) 3http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...lies/heart.gif, 3http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...ilies/club.gif, 9http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...es/diamond.gif (3 players)
Hero bets $2, MP1 calls $2, CO calls $2

Turn: ($8.90) Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...es/diamond.gif (3 players)
Hero bets $4, MP1 calls $4, 1 fold

River: ($16.90) 5http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...ilies/club.gif (2 players)
Hero bets $8,

anyone?

I'm not sure that the difference between betting $8 and going all-in is going to change his calling range enough that the $8 bet is better.

How about betting a little more on the turn? If he is going to call $4, he'll very likely also call $5 or $5.5, right? Then it's easier to get it in on the river. However I'd say it's arguable whether a 11/6 stacks off or even calls $8 with AJ or AQ, and surely not with TT-QQ.

How about checking? If he called the turn he's got a strong ace in just about everything you beat, so he could bet that if checked to (because you don't have any 3's in your range), esp. after your smallish turn bet. He'd probably just shove himself for value against your weaker aces or a KK-QQ that he might think you couldn't fold, or if your check makes him think that you don't have an A he might want to try a bluff with his TT-QQ to fold your JJ-KK.

Or is that stretching it?

edit: probably stretching it because if you are playing 8/8 he can't expect that you would call a river bet with anything worse than AK. Or if he does bet he would bet small so that you would feel compelled to call with your worse hands, but then when you raise he would most likely fold... unless you try the "induce a fit" technique that made you famous in that second flush hand :-D

Quote:

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Originally Posted by spoonitnow

I'm not sure that the difference between betting $8 and going all-in is going to change his calling range enough that the $8 bet is better.

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+1