2/4 50bb - thin value jam orr?

villain is 37/11 over a small sample.

river a bit thin to jam?

I suppose he could have tons of 5x combos and his good aces would 3bet pre leaving him with fewer Ax, that and I block it...if he has like QcTc though or something he binked an out on the river so those hands could make a crying call...

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $4.00 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (BB) ($200)
UTG ($92)
UTG+1 ($209.10)
MP1 ($356.85)
MP2 ($69.50)
MP3 ($95.75)
CO ($242.50)
Button ($144.25)
SB ($460.45)

Preflop: Hero is BB with K:spade:, A:club:
6 folds, Button calls $4, 1 fold, Hero bets $14, Button calls $10

Flop: ($30) 5:heart:, 5:spade:, A:spade: (2 players)
Hero bets $16, Button calls $16

Turn: ($62) 10:club: (2 players)
Hero bets $30, Button calls $30

River: ($122) Q:heart: (2 players)
Hero?

I'd jam. I'd expect him to raise AQ and maybe AT pre and not be playing a huge amount of 5x. Like sure he can have 5x sometimes but fish can't fold top pair so if we even say he doesn't fold Ax this much of the time it's still a jam.

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 61.538% 61.54% 00.00% 16 0.00 { AcKs }
Hand 1: 38.462% 38.46% 00.00% 10 0.00 { A9s-A8s, A5s, 75s, 65s, 54s, A9o-A8o, A5o }

I suspect your equity is even better than this.

You didn't make those betsizes so you could c/f the river

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Deanglow

If you didn't make those betsizes you could c/f the river

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fyp?

I'd bet larger preflop and on the turn and shove as played.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Renton

I'd bet larger preflop and on the turn and shove as played.

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^^^^^^^^ This