100nl - fps'y looking line for value

villain is 14/11 nit-tag over a decent sample. i haven't played with him in awhile but from browsing 2p2 i've discovered he's been playing much better lately since getting coached.

thus I think I can give him credit for being able to read hands and game flow better than in the past (where he played tighter and weaker).

I had already taken down 3 pots or so calling his PFR out of the blinds this session across a couple tables.

he probably views me as an aggro tag, not sure if he would see me as tricky/fps'y but I can recall raising his turn barrel once and folding to a jam on a semi-coordinated board.

anyway what do you guys think? I sized the river a bit smaller than I could have because it gives him a better price on a curiosity call and a better price on the bluff im repping.



PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (7 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (SB) ($100)
BB ($100)
UTG ($84.75)
MP1 ($136.85)
MP2 ($141.50)
CO ($100)
Button ($102.60)

Preflop: Hero is SB with J:club:, A:club:
3 folds, CO bets $2.50, 1 fold, Hero calls $2, 1 fold

Flop: ($6) A:spade:, K:heart:, 6:spade: (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks

Turn: ($6) 4:heart: (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $4.20, Hero raises to $12.50, CO calls $8.30

River: ($31) Q:diamond: (2 players)
Hero bets $19

what are you expecting him to call with that you beat?

weaker Ax and Kx

is this line really credible as a bluff?

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Originally Posted by reDZill4

what are you expecting him to call with that you beat?

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More importantly what are you trying to rep? Exactly 44,66, both of which prob lead turn?

Quote:

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Originally Posted by caddie444

More importantly what are you trying to rep? Exactly 44,66, both of which prob lead turn?

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...

Quote:

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Originally Posted by caddie444

More importantly what are you trying to rep? Exactly 44,66, both of which prob lead turn?

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I was under the impression that we were trying to rep a bluff.

thing is you reek bet-fold thin more than a bluff here

I obv misunderstood and thought you were bluffing not trying to rep a bluff, and I even read the post, I must be tired...

Anyways I think your line is ok if he's even somewhat stationy/makes-curiosity-calls and can hand read, still too fpsy for me though.

If I chose to do this I may bet river bigger to make it look like we don't want a call.

Seems decent. Not a great river for this move so I'd be a little smaller like you say (on total blanks you can bet big here), but a 14/11 is definitely opening enough Ax for this to be good.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by caddie444

More importantly what are you trying to rep? Exactly 44,66, both of which prob lead turn?

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facepalm.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Bbickes

facepalm.

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yah it's ok I haven't got one in a while you guys must be slackin'

you should be c/r 99 and 44 to some degree as well for balance imo. also its a line which seems to be vastly un-credible for some reason.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Bbickes

you should be c/r 99 and 44 to some degree as well for balance imo. also its a line which seems to be vastly un-credible for some reason.

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screw balance, I like this line because they call too much, why would I do this w/ 99? And I think 44 is a fold pre here.

You have a very good hand stop bluffin

am i expected to never be bluffing here?

i assume a guy this nitty wont have anything ever to call you with and its not a common spot enough on turn for him to start reshipping his marginals.

i prefer leading turn on most occasions.