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I'm very tight (VPIP 9.62, preflop raise 3.37). Currently running at +15bb per 100 at 5NL. I've recently loosened up with hands like AK/AQ when I miss a flop. With my figures I seem to get away with betting 3/4 of the pot and taking it down on the flop, however occasionally I fire a second barrel on the turn when they just call my bet and they usually give it up.
I'm right in assuming this is VERY read dependent though, they seem to be just calling and hoping something will turn up?
Getting away with betting? Do you even know why you're betting? Put villain on a range and figure out what part of his range will fold to a turn bet. If you're fold equity is null, the board sucks, or villain doesn't have a fold button, don't barrel. It's spew.
PS - you're a passive nit preflop and I'm never giving you action without the nuts.
tilts me so hard
you have to take three things into account: their flop calling range, their turn calling/raising/folding range and the your bet in relation to the pot.
Say you have AQ, the board is K72 3 with no flushdraw, and your opponent called the flop with any broadway Kx and 88-QQ, then there are 48 combos of Kx that he can have, 9 sets and 30 combos of underpairs. Let's say he folds 88-QQ to a second barrel of 2/3 the pot. Can we profitably barrel?
Who want's to answer that. :D
Don't get too anal about it. Discount equity when called and implied odds.
OP: find out how to do that. It's in the beginners digest. Then take at least one hand you played and do the same.
we are betting 2/3 pot so we need him to fold 40% of time ....he is folding 30/87= .34
so no not profitable imo
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_XKbxRgHfHs...entSticker.jpg
Just cuz I fear people aren't necessarily getting this. The shortcut for how much equity you need is to take the bet and divide it though bet+pot. So (2/3)/(1+2/3) = 0.4
If you were to bet half pot it's (1/2)/(1+1/2) = 0.33
So if you could make him fold underpairs to a half pot bet, it would be profitable. - Less marginal than it looks because you can still improve your hand.
I figure I had the best hand preflop otherwise it would have been raised. Seems any pocket preflop or 2 cards over 10 gets raised? I'm betting because (by my logic) I want the pot now as I've missed and betting seems a MUCH better option than checking.Quote:
Originally Posted by StarGrinder
I can't work out range with these guys. Preflop unraised they're in with anything from any position. Unless they get excited and ram, in that case I'm putting them on QQ or better.
My passive rep helps. If I get played back at I can be fairly certain that I'm well behind. Every 20 or so hands I'll preflop raise with any two cards just to add a little uncertainty. Even if I drop it on the flop it's worth it just for that :)
Donked, what if he can have 67s, 78s as well? Is a 2/3 pot barrel profitable then?
Also, you are obviously terrible at poker. That's why you play 5NL and signed up here. GJ on that one. Now less excuses and more studying imo. Ignore the haters.
You must put them on a range, every street. Whether we bet, raise, fold, call, check, whatever... 99.9% of decisions you make in poker derives from hand ranges, or at least it should minus all the spew and tilt. Wishful thinking will only get you so far. Learn it now while it's on the cheap.Quote:
Originally Posted by Donked again
With 5nl fish, it's hard to say. Against anyone paying attention, it's really hard to play bad vs you. Nah mean?Quote:
Originally Posted by Donked again
jesus christ stop overlimping AQ and learn to play preflop before worrying about balancing your barreling range
Does it make you angry when people play bad?
Do you want to talk about it?
Or maybe you could work on stealing blinds, especially from players like yourself. You could also isolate some limpers with really weak ranges and think about the best way to exploit them. That way you could be doing things that are +ev and not seem so tightpassive.Quote:
Originally Posted by Donked again
Oh yes, I'm not very good, I know that. I know I'll get loads of stick too. But that's ok if it makes me think better poker.Quote:
Originally Posted by oskar
yes, it does.Quote:
Originally Posted by oskar
So why do you think that is?
@Donked
You fkn imbecil. Answer the goddamn question!
K72 3 rainbow board
Villain has KT, KJ, KQ, AK, 88-QQ, 67s, 78s. He folds all pairs under a king to a second barrell. If he calls, you loose every time. + they get to rape your dog.
Can you profitably double barrel?
Knowing how to solve that is not optional around here.
[/Gordon Ramsay]
that really helps clear things up, thanks!Quote:
Originally Posted by oskar