100nl 6m, c/r ai on Turn on wet drawy b- with top2 in RR pot BTN vs BB

villain is 16/14, 6%3Bet over 225 hands and simply hadn't been making much noise at the table.

I'm ahead of AxAd, AdKx
chop with KQ
and am crushed by the rest. AdTd+, Td9d, Jd9d

Clear fold? Am I missing something?


No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (3 handed)

Hero (Button) ($106.40)
SB ($194)
BB ($101.50)

Preflop: Hero is Button with Q:spade:, K:spade:
Hero bets $2.50, 1 fold, BB raises $7, Hero calls $5.50

Flop: ($16.50) 6:diamond:, 8:diamond:, Q:club: (2 players)
BB bets $12, Hero calls $12

Turn: ($40.50) K:diamond: (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $27.10, BB raises $81.50 (All-In)

Kinda gross but you're getting a good price, have outs even if you're wrong and since he might assume that most flush draws are raising flop (they usually have a combo draw on this board so are happy to get it in) he would probably discount you having a flush so can either be 'protecting' ak or valuing AA/AKd or AdQ enough that I think it's a call. He can also be semi-bluffing with any Ad like AJ/AT.

Feel like flushes will bet bet more often than taking this line. Can't find a fold here I don't think.

no. call and hold obv

Board: Kd Qc 8d 6d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 40.260% 27.44% 12.82% 169 79.00 { KsQs }
Hand 1: 59.740% 46.92% 12.82% 289 79.00 { AcAd, AdAh, AdAs, AdQd, AdJd, AdTd, KQs, Jd9d, Td9d, AdKc, AdKh, AdKs, KQo }

You need 26.7% to call vs this range now. Come on

this doesn't even take into account weighting combos, adding some hands you crush which are pretty clearly in his range, and just generally analyzing his line and tendencies to better get a grasp of how youre doing. You are probably ahead more than 80% of the time

we just got owned, /thread

al this guy's probably 3 betting KQ much less than you d think