AJ on A22, line check

Opp is 26/10 over less than 100 hands, haven't seen him raise a cbet before, but again the sample size is way too small. His postflop AF is 3.1, i believe he's never bluffing, but could he vbet worse? Can I fold on the flop or turn?



Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (9 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

BB ($211.85)
UTG ($138.40)
UTG+1 ($208.60)
MP1 ($233.95)
MP2 ($107.20)
Hero (MP3) ($477.95)
CO ($200)
Button ($286.60)
SB ($200)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with Jhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...lies/heart.gif, Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...ilies/club.gif
4 folds, Hero bets $7, 1 fold, Button calls $7, 2 folds

Flop: ($17) 2http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...lies/heart.gif, 2http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...es/diamond.gif, Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...es/diamond.gif (2 players)
Hero bets $10, Button raises to $30, Hero calls $20

Turn: ($77) 5http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...lies/heart.gif (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $30, Hero calls $30

River: ($137) 3http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...lies/spade.gif (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $100, Hero folds

Total pot: $137 | Rake: $3

If I don't think he's ever bluffing on the flop, I'd fold right there. It seems like every time a random player raises tpnk on Axx it's a minraise. 3x is either AK, 2x or a bluff.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by KillsAids

, i believe he's never bluffing

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Why? If you don't think he plays a FD this way then fold flop/turn.

Having got to the river I call all day. Is a 26/10 really betting 3/4 pot on a 4-straight board with AQ/AK?

I think I would call the river.

I'm not a 20/10, but I would consider that river a total blank for my AK.

he won't value bet it, as least not this size

I don't think that you should assume a random 26/10 can handread well. I guess this could be AK sometimes, but not often, and AQ very rarely. How many 2s can you put in his range? I actually think this is a bluff most of the the time, let alone the 30%ish we need to make a profitable call.

We like never have a straight, or 2x, so AK shouldbe fine with having the best hand and vbetting.

I think it's a bit of a strange line to raise this flop with AQ/AK in villain's shoes due to so many hands we would be folding that we might put another bet in with on future streets.

Not sure what the best line is though.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by XxStacksxX

We like never have a straight, or 2x, so AK shouldbe fine with having the best hand and vbetting.

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villain can't handread!! Scary board + 1 pair =/= 3/4 pot vbet.

obv this is not always gonna be right but i don't think he's got AQ/AK much and there aren't many 2s he can have. There are loads of FDs that he can have and they make a lot of sense with this betsizing. Hand is played great if you call river.

Well i'm going to come clean here and say I check this flop. It lets him bluff, there aren't too many cards we're scared of and getting raised sucks. If he checks behind we can confidently v-bet most all turns/rivers.

Please tell me if this is a leak so I can fix it.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by caddie444

Well i'm going to come clean here and say I check this flop. It lets him bluff, there aren't too many cards we're scared of and getting raised sucks. If he checks behind we can confidently v-bet most all turns/rivers.

Please tell me if this is a leak so I can fix it.

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I think it's fine some % of the time.

I hate checking this particular flop, because your range is exactly that. Check flop, bet turn and river looks soooo strong.
If it was A9T, AK2 I agree that checking is sometimes best.