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I filtered all my pocket pairs at 36,000 hands.Where I hit a set on the flop only. Reguardless of how the hand panned out.
KK and AA Excluded.
http://i274.photobucket.com/albums/j...ntry/sethu.jpg
I filtered where I missed my set on the flop.
http://i274.photobucket.com/albums/j...untry/yyyy.jpg.
Intresting how often I hit ,compared with how often I miss.
This isnt exactly scientific ,
988 missed 173 hit , Thats 17.5%
It's an easy mistake to make, but it's not 173/988, it's 173/(173+988), which is something like 15%. :]
small distantion I think
I think that pretty much falls into set odds, isn't it like 1/8 which is around 12.5%?
I'm not a standard deviation expert but 15% actual versus 11% expected result seems like a decent discrepancy over 1000 hand sample. Consider yourself on the good side of that result over that interval.
It seems that way but it's really not, I promise :]Quote:
Originally Posted by Jason
Really? I get a standard deviation of about 11, putting him in the luckiest 0.1% of the population. Of course I don't know how that sits him in the population subset of people who had such abnormal results they deemed it worthy of posting a thread about it ;-). Maybe I have this wrong, anyone else get a value that makes this less unlikely?Quote:
Originally Posted by spoonitnow
Like I said, it's only like a little over 3 standard deviations off (I got 3.32 for about a 0.06% chance), not really a big deal. That's like twice the chance of being dealt a hand from QQ+ two hands in a row.Quote:
Originally Posted by knaplek