AQ hits 2p

Main villains stats were 10,2,111. The guy to my left was loose as hell pf, calling raises with anything that looks pretty, hence my raise, as I knew he was coming with me and would fold to a cbet.

Am curious on your thoughts about my shove have on the river.

Opening range for villain
22+,A9s+,KJs+,AJo+,KQo

Range after he leads on the flop
JJ+,66,AQs+,AdJd,AhJh,AdTd,Ad9d,KQs,KdJd,AJo+,KQo

Which puts me as 53% favourite.

Range on the turn
JJ+,66,AdKd,AQs,AdJd,AhJh,AdTd,Ad9d,KQs,KdJd,AQo,K Qo
Leaves me only 44% to win.

Range on river once Ad hits,

JJ,66,AdKd,AQs,KQs,KdJd,AQo,KQo

And I think he calls with all of it, and I', 55% favourite.

SO please tell me if anythings wropng with that analysis.

Thanks


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

BB ($3.56)
UTG ($4.93)
UTG+1 ($5)
MP1 ($4.88)
Hero (MP2) ($5)
MP3 ($3.58)
CO ($3.15)
Button ($10.12)
SB ($5.09)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/.../smiles/qs.gif, http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/.../smiles/ac.gif
UTG calls $0.05, 2 folds, Hero bets $0.20, MP3 calls $0.20, 4 folds, UTG calls $0.15

Flop: ($0.67) http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/.../smiles/qd.gif, http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/.../smiles/6d.gif, http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/.../smiles/js.gif (3 players)
UTG bets $0.40, Hero calls $0.40, 1 fold

Turn: ($1.47) http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/.../smiles/2h.gif (2 players)
UTG bets $1, Hero calls $1

River: ($3.47) http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/.../smiles/ad.gif (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $3.40 (All-In), UTG calls $3.33 (All-In)

Total pot: $10.13 | Rake: $0.45

Bugger ranges not right, will correct in an a few hours, gotta eat with the mrs now and then watch some dexter.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by DanAronG

Main villains stats were 10,2,111.

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means that your opening range seems kinda weird. I like 22+/AK/AQs.

i guess the thought of villain having KT or diamonds never occurred to you with that river?...

My main concern here is that you aren't giving weaker hands much of an opportunity to pay you off, while stonger hands will always stack you off. Also you went in right ON the flush card.


I believe that sometimes we are tempted to go all in so we don't have to worry about making any more tough decisions. But, that's what poker is all about.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by xX zorrito Xx

i guess the thought of villain having KT or diamonds never occurred to you with that river?...

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It wan't in the estimated opening range , so I think I'll get shouted at if I somehow introduce on a later street.

I skimmed over your analysis and it looks good for the most part except I don't know if he's calling on the river with KQ. Good effort into this. This is the type of thing that will make you improve at poker very quickly.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by daven

Quote:

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Originally Posted by DanAronG

Main villains stats were 10,2,111.

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means that your opening range seems kinda weird. I like 22+/AK/AQs.

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Which means if a 10,2 calls from the button, I'm always beat if he bets out on the flop?

this looks fine,