Bottom set on monotone flop

This was about 5 minutes into the session, and I only have 6 hands on my opponent during this particular hand. I don't have much of a table image at this point.

The range I'm putting him on is after his PFR is: 33+, 78s+, Ax+, Kx+, Axs+, Kxs+

Basically any pp, any ace, any king, and mid-high connected cards..

After my 62 hands with opponent I see he's running more like 18 VPIP and 6 PFR

I know there are plenty of threads on calling all in shoves, but I have a hard time calculating my equity against specific ranges because I'm on a mac and don't have pokerstove. On a side note: Can anyone recommend a pokerstove equivalent or any easy fix to use the software?

Obviously I don't like seeing the monotone flop in this situation, but there are a lot of hands in his range that I beat.

If he checks back the flop, I'm leading out with a PSB on turn.

On the turn, folding to his raise is obv an option, but again how much of the time is he doing this with 4-flushes, TP, 2pair, overpairs?

Is my thinking off? Bet sizing/aggression/calling off? Is this a ZOMG CaNt LaY DoWn mY SeT spot?

Thanks in advance for any input. Please let me know if more info's needed.

Converted Below:

Thanks.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP2 ($10.15)
CO ($5.55)
Villain (Button) ($21.15)
SB ($10.80)
BB ($27.45)
UTG ($15.15)
UTG+1 ($9.50)
Hero (MP1) ($9.80)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 2http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif, 2http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif
2 folds, Hero calls $0.10, 2 folds, Villain bets $0.40, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.30

Flop: ($0.95) 2http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif, 3http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif, 10http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif (2 players)
Hero checks, Villain bets $0.60, Hero raises to $1.80, Villain calls $1.20

Turn: ($4.55) 5http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif (2 players)
Hero bets $2, Villain raises to $8, Hero calls $5.60 (All-In)

River: ($19.75) 7http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: $19.75 | Rake: $0.95

Seems fine other than the open limp PF.

Raise more on the flop.

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Originally Posted by spoonitnow

Raise more on the flop.

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Leaving about one bet behind is fine. It's not like he's folding.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by spoonitnow

Raise more on the flop.

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this

Quote:

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Originally Posted by dranger7070

Seems fine other than the open limp PF.

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Thanks for the response.

I know open limping is about the most taboo, rule breaker around these parts.

Seems lately like I've been having a lot of success limp/calling small shitty pocket pairs, say 22-88 from EP-MP. If I pick up a hand like this in later positions, I'm raising, but my plan from EP-MP is to limp, call one raise if opponent(s) stack(s) are big enough, and fold to any 3bets, unless I've got a good read somewhere.

If I don't hit my set, I'm playing cautiously and ready to trash the hand to any aggression. I'll continue if opponent seems weak.

And if I hit my set, I'm playing it fast, although hands like above are scary/shitty spots.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by spoonitnow

Raise more on the flop.

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Raise more, like 4-5.5x so I can open shove the turn? Or raise more, like c/r shove the flop?

Am I losing value scaring away weaker, shittier hands and only getting called by big overpairs (obv good thing), bigger sets or better (bad..)?

In this particular spot, if villain just calls my turn bet I guess I shut down on any club river, but would it be correct to shove it in to any other cards? Check/calling off all my chips seems bad.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by d0nkeylipz

Quote:

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Originally Posted by spoonitnow

Raise more on the flop.

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Raise more, like 4-5.5x so I can open shove the turn? Or raise more, like c/r shove the flop?

Am I losing value scaring away weaker, shittier hands and only getting called by big overpairs (obv good thing), bigger sets or better (bad..)?

In this particular spot, if villain just calls my turn bet I guess I shut down on any club river, but would it be correct to shove it in to any other cards? Check/calling off all my chips seems bad.

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You should raise more on the flop to set up an easy turn shove and to give worse odds to bare flush draws. Then you don't have to worry about playing the river.

bet more on the turn

I value shove the flop a lot in these spots.. a ton of his range calls you here.. overpairs and any kind of big FD will call here a lot.

You don't want to raise small like you did and chance peeling a scare card for both of you. Getting the action killed while holding a set sucks.

I like a 2.20ish raise on the flop. Then you can shove the turn without much problem. If he's already got the flush then you are boned anyway but do have a redraw to the FH. That said, raise PF with all PP.