River Value, Case #1415521 [$11 SNG]

This hand is made easier by the fact that we are HU, but still, its not that easy. What is the best COA on this river and why? Assume competent villain, who knows a thing or two about betting.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 11 Tournament, 100/200 Blinds (2 handed) - Poker-Stars Replayer from Poker Hands Replayer

http://www.pokerhandsreplayer.com/po...ctures/773.gif

Jizzy Sawya (Button) (t9760)
SB (t3740)

Jizzy Sawya's M: 32.53

Preflop: Jizzy Sawya is Button with http://www.pokerhandsreplayer.com/poker-cards/9d.gif, http://www.pokerhandsreplayer.com/poker-cards/4d.gif
Jizzy Sawya calls t100, SB checks

Flop: (t400) http://www.pokerhandsreplayer.com/poker-cards/jd.gif, http://www.pokerhandsreplayer.com/poker-cards/kd.gif, http://www.pokerhandsreplayer.com/poker-cards/2s.gif (2 players)
SB checks, Jizzy Sawya bets t200, SB calls t200

Turn: (t800) http://www.pokerhandsreplayer.com/poker-cards/2d.gif (2 players)
SB checks, Jizzy Sawya bets t400, SB raises to t1000, Jizzy Sawya calls t600

River: (t2800) http://www.pokerhandsreplayer.com/poker-cards/kc.gif (2 players)
SB checks, Hero (t8360) ?

Before I talk about the river I think you need to be getting it in on this turn. He's got half his stack in at this point so he's not folding anything but total air which is going to give up when you call his raise anyways.

If he is a competent aggressive player i don't see many kings in his range that take this line. They will either ck-r the flop or raise your limp pre. So you are looking at a 2 if his hand is ahead of yours most of the time. If you think he can fold a 2 given on his play so far than jam, if not check. You are never getting called by worse here imo.

We can beat only a bluff. I check the river.

prolly has the deuce i would jump off that hand

bet/3bet jam turn, as played its a check behind. He's going to have 2x, or a flush a good portion of the time here imo. If we had the nut flush I think i would have to bet this, but I would feel really really gross doing it.

Jam turn.