How bad is a jam here?

Villain is loosefer a higher stakes reg who seems pretty aggro, so I snap sat when I saw him sitting at 1/2 to show him who the king of the castle is.

No HUD numbers of coldcalling pre or turn donks. He does know I can take pot control lines with nut draws, he's seen me b/c the NFD on the flop and c/c an open ender. So I can easily have nutted hands in my range. The only draw he has shown down he c/r a FD against my flopped set and we got it in on a blank turn.

His turn donk has me confused but shouldn't his range be capped at 44 here and b/fing like every 2 pair and possibly sets?

I felt like I was kinda getting owned in medium sized pots (maybe he was just running good)

edit: FWIW we're multi tabling



$1/$2 No Limit Holdem
PokerStars
2 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
Hero (SB) ($318)
BB ($312.30)

Pre-Flop: ($3, 2 players) Hero is SB :qd: :kc:
Hero raises to $6, BB calls $4

Flop: :4c: :as: :3h: ($12, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $9, BB calls $9

Turn: :qc: ($30, 2 players)
BB bets $23, Hero calls $23

River: :2h: ($76, 2 players)
BB bets $52

River seems like a fold based on how he plays. I haven't played with him a ton but I'd be folding here. You could also make an argument for folding turn.

{edit I wouldn't jam as bluff either fwiw. I feel like he's gonna have it here especially if you've never seen him take this line before.}

He's never bluffing here he has 2 pair or better. solid players dont expect you to fold here.

Also the turn is a better check.