Re: Check Raising the River
Nice post meeloche
I agree with most of this example and I think this will work against moderate opponents, but some players are definitely capable of checking back a weak Ax here, when its clear that you were trying to rep that and now you check so you're probably polarized.
I'd rather do that in a spot where the strength of your hand is more disguised, and in a situation where villain could perceive that they actually rivered you (for example if you had KK/AA in this example)
Example:
200nl 120bb stacks
You call :4c: :4d: in the sb vs button open from meh reg villain (20/16/2.5)
Flop :Qc: :8s: :4s: (6bb pot)
You bet 5bb BB calls
Turn :5ch: (16bb)
You bet 14bb, BB calls
River :Qd: (44bb)
You have 98bb left
Hero check bombs river.
In this spot, villain will clearly always bet Qx, especially when you could be checking river with an overpair. He can also potentially bet river with all his missed draws.