rivered set on soaking wet board facing raise from unknown
villain is like 20/15 over 15 hands but is a complete unknown. like all of his post flop stats say N/A. this is a spot where i was pretty lost on ranges. i know that i only need to be good like 25% of the time, but i feel like villain has to be an idiot for him to be doing this with anything that i beat other than a bluff.
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
BB ($9.14)
UTG ($8.40)
Hero (MP) ($26.55)
CO ($10)
Button ($5.29)
SB ($2.04)
Preflop: Hero is MP with http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/.../smiles/9s.gif, http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/.../smiles/9h.gif
1 fold, Hero bets $0.40, CO calls $0.40, 3 folds
Flop: ($0.95) http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/.../smiles/6d.gif, http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/.../smiles/2s.gif, http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/.../smiles/td.gif (2 players)
Hero bets $0.70, CO calls $0.70
Turn: ($2.35) http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/.../smiles/8d.gif (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks
River: ($2.35) http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/.../smiles/9c.gif (2 players)
Hero bets $1.50, CO raises to $4.50
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 18.644% 18.64% 00.00% 11 0.00 { 99 }
Hand 1: 81.356% 81.36% 00.00% 48 0.00 { 88-77, AdKd, AdQd, AdJd, AdTd, KdQd, T9s, 87s, 76s }
i only put in one of the 4 possible sets to weight it. if i only add one of the possible overpairs, then the call becomes profitable. i guess this is kinda just a question about weighting ranges
