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Does anybody feel they get certain pairs that hit them more sets?
It seems most of the time i get snowmen i always seem to hit a set or even quads on the flop. And more often than not it is against pocket kings who have already defined their hand by an out of character pre flop re raise.
Over how many hands are you drawing this conclusion?
oh dem holly jollies.
Every pair has the same liklihood of hitting a set, that is assuming none of your outs are in others hands or have been throw away.
Really stacks?
I thought some pairs were more likely to hit sets. Jeez.
Snowmen again. Set again.
errr... lol?
I would think there is some minute difference that would make sets more feasible with lower cards... reason I say that is you can only hit a set if you see a flop... flop play is only possible against an opponent... oppnents are not likely to play crap... so since they are playing better cards, that reduces the number of available better cards in the deck minutely... thus I would think you might see a set of 8's maybe like .05 percent more than a set of Ks.
But I never took statistics.
yes set of deuces hit sets the most, precisely for the reason that monty said:
if you have a pp and you raise and everyone else folds, they must have been dealt less aces and more deuces on average
when you DO see a flop with a pp your opponents have more aces and less deuces on average
and nobody fucking knows what % of the time (but it's probably like Monty says, a really small difference)
It can be deduced that when holding a high pair, one can increase one's chances of flopping a set by not betting pre-flop.
It can be deduced, that you are gay.Quote:
Originally Posted by Fielmann
OMFG... iopq actually thought I might be on the right track on something ;)
if A implies B, B does not necessarily imply AQuote:
Originally Posted by Fielmann
if you don't bet preflop , that means you have folded unless you are the big blind and its limped back to you.It could still be argued that the blinds have made a forced bet though. In all other cases though , how does folding preflop increase you chances of hitting a set on the flop?Quote:
Originally Posted by Fielmann
All pairs flop a set equal amounts of time. It's just blind luck that it always happens with 8's for you.
Trying to resist... trying... trying... failing to resist...Quote:
Originally Posted by Keith_MM
It's sarcasm.
OK, this thread got pretty silly and made me laugh a bit, but the question intrigues me mathematically.
IOPQ is obv right that OF THE PP'S THAT SEE FLOPS, 22 flops more sets than AA.Quote:
Originally Posted by iopq
But AA sees more flop than 22. So the question of which pp flops the most total sets is probably QQ since it sees nearly 100% of flops and has fewer blockers typically out against it than AA and KK. That's the interesting part of the question, for me.
But like IOPQ says, whatever difference exists is probably so small we'd need like 4 billion HH's in a database to know with any accuracy.
ZOMG ONLINE POKER IS RIGGED
YOU CAN'T BEAT LIVE POKER BECAUSE PEOPLE CHEAT
IOQP YOU ARE SUCH A NAZI
There now this thread is officially in the suck, can we put it out of its misery?
lock it plz?Quote:
Originally Posted by Fnord
Are you so obtuse that it is deemed necessary to lock any thread you dont approve of?
snowmen are the most obtuse pp 'cause they has the round... :shock:Quote:
Originally Posted by Stuventus
Hear are my numbers from the last 80K hands.
Who needs jacks to set anyway? My snowmen arnt as good as yours.
Code:Player: 1
Hands: 80859
A 371 (1 in 217) 208 19 (1 in 10.95)
K 363 (1 in 222) 217 19 (1 in 11.42)
Q 358 (1 in 225) 237 28 (1 in 8.46)
J 339 (1 in 238) 280 19 (1 in 14.74)
T 380 (1 in 212) 320 38 (1 in 8.42)
9 365 (1 in 221) 299 36 (1 in 8.31)
8 385 (1 in 210) 336 36 (1 in 9.33)
7 385 (1 in 210) 334 37 (1 in 9.03)
6 344 (1 in 235) 297 24 (1 in 12.38)
5 386 (1 in 209) 334 45 (1 in 7.42)
4 332 (1 in 243) 293 40 (1 in 7.33)
3 390 (1 in 207) 323 42 (1 in 7.69)
2 365 (1 in 221) 307 39 (1 in 7.87)
PP: 1 in 16.98
Sets: 1 in 8.97
My initial reaction would be in cash games AA and KK get most over massive samples because they are more prone to see 2 extra streets than the others.
Don't know how to rescue the thread tho.
what did you call me???Quote:
Originally Posted by Stuventus
I'm not exactly sure, but if you break it down...Quote:
Originally Posted by bigspenda73
"ob" - as in "ob/gyn" or the branch of medicine dealing with the act of childbirth
"tu" - spanish; "you" familiar
"se" - a Portuguese parish, located in Braganca
...so seems to me he just called you a Portuguese pussy.... which is definitely uncool :shock:
ok, cant find the Shawshank clip but I remember this from the FG season finale and I laughed so hard when he said "acute"Quote:
Originally Posted by sarbox68
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P7t_y6I4vKA
freakin hilarious :lol:Quote:
Originally Posted by bigspenda73
at least be man enough to say you locked a thread in my forum
{unlocked}
I have nothing to add except to say that I know the name of the girl in your SN pic is Rikki Ishoy and she is climbing at the happy boulders near Bishop California, and that pic is a covershot from Climbing Magazine from 1997, and that I have met her, been there and still have that issue.Quote:
Originally Posted by Robb
Oh, and nice choice. :)
Aces will hit sets less often than 22 because you'll be against people with Aces more often when you have AA and with 22 you'll be against people who don't have 2s as often or wahtever you know what I mean I can't type for shit
HOLY SHIT
HAI SPOON
thxQuote:
Originally Posted by fusionjj
whooo this has been unlocked
now i can type whatever i want on this thread without being banned
(_/_) (_|_) (_\_) (_|_) (_/_)
shake shake shake....shake shake shake...shake you booty
and with that, I'll lock it
{locked}