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10NL : Value Pwned ?
Villian Stats : (VP$IP/PFR [Street Aggression] 3-bet%)
BB: 100/50 [inf 0 inf] 0% over 5 hands.
My Thoughts And Questions
Getting 3 to 1 on an almost unknow who has played every single hadn so far do i just call and make note ? Feel like there is a lot beating me...... especialy with his bet sizing that looks and stink like value.
Poker Stars $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
SB: $11.85
BB: $10.35
UTG: $14.55
MP: $8.30
CO: $5.50
Hero (BTN): $16.90
Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BTN with Q:club: T:diamond:
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, SB calls $0.25, BB calls $0.20
Flop: ($0.90) K:diamond: T:spade: 7:heart: (3 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero checks
Turn: ($0.90) Q:spade: (3 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $0.70, SB folds, BB calls $0.70
River: ($2.30) 6:heart: (2 players)
BB bets $1.10, Hero?
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So you beat AK and some wacky random sh!t, and I'd need some real reason to think AK checks two streets for value... This is one of those bottom 2-pr hands that IMHO looks sweeter than it is, esp on this board. AJ got there, as did 89. KT & KQ got you. It's almost a 1/2 PSB bet so not THAT out of line, but I don't expect to win this much at all... not even 25% of the time.
That being said, you could call for a peek and take some notes... since this guys in with every hand, maybe he's doing something goofy w/ AQ or 76 or could show up with absolutely anything.
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fish are generally willing to bluff one street
I call and expect spades some of the time, something retarded the rest of the time (67? T6s?)
just because you call expecting to be beat doesn't mean you should fold
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call.
Give him a range and put it in poker stove. Look at the results, think about the pot-odds. Know that he is an unknown fish. Snap call. You'll lose sometimes, just as long as you win these spots >25% of the time you're fine.
And if you lose it's great for your image anyway - they'll think "donk who raises QT" or nothing, depends if they are capable of independent thought
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hope for spades expect to see 89/AJ/KQ
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Your getting 1/3 and he isn't ahead here often enough to fold. Incorrect bet sizing is one of the most recurring things 10NL players do (Im guilty). What does his river bet represent? 5 in a row makes him loose enough to call. I'd still have Qx, tx,76 in his range.