10NL : River Call ?

Villian Stats : (VP$IP/PFR [Street Aggression] 3-bet%)

Less than 20 hands on villian.

My Thoughts And Questions

Preflop iso raise std imo.

Flop i check behind for pot control.

Turn i decide to flat to keep his bluffs and weaker made hands in also having the nut redraw is nice if we are behind.

River i dont like the 7 as i could see him stabbing on turn with 2nd pair and now rivering trips. Also possibly behind to the 56 for the straight and then of course any better aces and two pairs. With having no reads on villian i dont know if he is capable of trying to bluff the 7.

So this is fold ?


Poker Stars $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players

CO: $10.00
Hero (BTN): $19.60
SB: $6.50
BB: $2.00
UTG: $27.80
MP: $10.95

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BTN with 6:club: A:club:
1 fold, MP calls $0.10, 1 fold, Hero raises to $0.40, 2 folds, MP calls $0.30

Flop: ($0.95) 2:club: 7:diamond: A:spade: (2 players)
MP checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($0.95) 4:club: (2 players)
MP bets $0.70, Hero calls $0.70

River: ($2.35) 7:spade: (2 players)
MP bets $2, Hero?

just because we have less than 20 hands, doesn't mean stats don't help

I had 4/0 over 25 hands, but I've never ran 80/0 over 25 hands

1. 56 is not a straight, 53 is a straight
2. not behind two pairs since we have top two, aces and 7s

are you still confused about poker rules?

if we take passive flop lines with the intent of inducing or gaining more value from villain bluffs, then we should allow for the fact tha villain might be bluffing into our analysis. since 53 is highly unlikely, the only thing im afraid of on this board is A7, 22 and 44. i discount aces larger than AT by preflop action, and i think A9 and A8 lead the flop. The rest of the aces though are definately there and given that he might be bluffing and the small number of combos that beat us, i think this is an easy call.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by iopq

just because we have less than 20 hands, doesn't mean stats don't help

I had 4/0 over 25 hands, but I've never ran 80/0 over 25 hands

1. 56 is not a straight, 53 is a straight
2. not behind two pairs since we have top two, aces and 7s

are you still confused about poker rules?

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Was obviously tired when i posted the hand. Sorry i am upsetting u so much ;)

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Evilpopcorn

Quote:

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Originally Posted by iopq

just because we have less than 20 hands, doesn't mean stats don't help

I had 4/0 over 25 hands, but I've never ran 80/0 over 25 hands

1. 56 is not a straight, 53 is a straight
2. not behind two pairs since we have top two, aces and 7s

are you still confused about poker rules?

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Was obviously tired when i posted the hand. Sorry i am upsetting u so much ;)

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Who said I was upset? ;)

homoerotic winking ITT

Quote:

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Originally Posted by sil693

homoerotic winking ITT

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;)