Pocket Kings on Paired Board - 25NL
Villain is 20/12/1.2 over 120 hands.
The check after calling 3/4 pot bet on the flop threw me off and I was lost as to what to do next.
No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (7 handed) - Hold'em Manager
saw flop
SB ($11.90)
BB ($20.15)
UTG ($20.90)
MP1 ($17.20)
MP2 ($31.40)
CO ($21.50)
Hero (Button) ($23.45)
Preflop: Hero is Button with Kh, Kd
UTG calls $0.25, 2 folds, CO bets $1.25, Hero raises $3.75, 3 folds, CO calls $2.50
Flop: ($8.10) 6h, Jc, 6d (2 players)
CO checks, Hero bets $6, CO calls $6
Turn: ($20.10) 10d (2 players)
CO checks, Hero?
Re: Pocket Kings on Paired Board - 25NL
Quote:
Originally Posted by Frank Grimes
The check after calling 3/4 pot bet on the flop threw me off and I was lost as to what to do next.
what? i dont get your reasoining here...it sounds like you expected him to fold to the flop bet or that you expected him to call and then shove the turn. the former means you turned KK into a bluff and the latter that you have a read on villain that you arent telling us. The whole, c/c check turn line is sooo common.
without reads, i give him a flop range of JTs+, 77+, JQo, JAo. unless you think he calls a 3b wider than this and we can include suited connector type hands, but i dont think so. i cant see him raising 66 pre...but its possible. suited connector type hands probably dont call that large of a 3b if he raises them pre, so i think his range here is mostly overcard type hands and pairs. Get to the flop and there are no draws. Continuing is probably due to him having some kind of pair and thinking your cbetting with an AK or something...or a Jx type hand that he would call pre. The check on the turn is one of two things:
he trap u
or he has a weak hand and is pot controlling.
of his range, trap u type hands are JT, TT+
weak hand is all other jacks and his weaker pairs that just called the flop bet.
Against the "trap u" range we have 53% equity. We kill the other range. So betting seems to be the right option here. I expect queens to call just as often as a set of jacks and tens (same number of combinations), aces call, but JT is more likely and theres more combinations. His 77-99 that i had will fold, but they arent going to be betting the river either. I think his stronger jacks still call though, so i feel we have a good amount of equity for a bet here. We have about $13 behind, pot is $20, so arr in seems good.