Thread about marginal value hands vs donks/stations
I'll start with this example hand from today's session It got me thinking that this spot comes up a lot, and thought we could get some discussion on what the best line is.
Villain in this example is 64/12/1.5 over a 230 hand sample.
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $0.20 BB (6 handed) - Party-Poker Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
UTG ($19.40)
MP ($19.70)
Hero (CO) ($32.49)
Button ($34.10)
SB ($22.73)
BB ($20.20)
Preflop: Hero is CO with Qhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif, Qhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...es/diamond.gif
2 folds, Hero bets $0.70, 1 fold, SB calls $0.60, 1 fold
Flop: ($1.60) 5http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif, 7http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...es/diamond.gif, Khttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif (2 players)
SB checks
Total pot: $1.60
So we have a few options in this case. We'll assume villain check/calls at all given oppertunity here as he will most often as this hand plays out since he's a huge station. We'll also assume the turn and river are relatively blank.
A. We c bet the flop, check the turn behind and look to value bet the river if checked to.
B. We check the flop behind, make a delayed c bet on the turn, and look for 2 streets of value by betting the river also.
C. We bet the flop and the turn for value and plan to check back the river. Here we get the maximum value out of draws.
I've assumed 3 streets of value is too thin here even vs a station, but there may be an argument for this vs some VERY bad players.
Thoughts?