NFD OOP vs sTAG

Villain is 24/21/3.7 over about 100 hands.
No real reads other than he has 3bet my LP raises in resteal positions twice and I folded to both. I get the impression that he is somewhat aggro for these stakes, but I don't have any specific reads to back that up.

My image is clean other than a high steal %. I discount a pure float here as I have been playing rather tight. He realistically can't be on AK here. Is this a good place to CRAI the turn?

No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

SB ($90.05)
BB ($44)
UTG ($32.70)
Hero (MP) ($158.40)
CO ($98.50)
Button ($130.55)

Preflop: Hero is MP with Jhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif, Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif
UTG calls $1, Hero raises $4, 1 fold, Button calls $4, 3 folds

Flop: ($10.50) 2http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif, 7http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...es/diamond.gif, Khttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif (2 players)
Hero bets $8, Button calls $8

Turn: ($26.50) 8http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $19, Hero CRAI?

stack sizes say no

Quote:

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Originally Posted by bigspenda73

stack sizes say no

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Yeah that'd be a weird overbet. Better off just continuing the lead on the turn.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Galapogos

Yeah that'd be a weird overbet. Better off just continuing the lead on the turn.

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QFT.

I'm not sure leading the turn is prudent. I would discount his ability to be on a pure bluff float for the aforementioned reasons, but that leaves him w/ K9s+, KJ+, 22, 77-99, 87s, & a few heart draws. Pokerstove says:
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

1,892 games 0.047 secs 40,255 games/sec

Board: Kh 7d 2h 8s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 26.427% 26.43% 00.00% 500 0.00 { AhJh }
Hand 1: 73.573% 73.57% 00.00% 1392 0.00 { 99-77, 22, KTs+, Th9h, 9h8h, 8h7h, 7h6h, KJo+ }

I am pushing him off or am ahead of some of that, but the majority is calling a turn lead to and then folding to a 3barrel, especially a river heart. In summary, I'm intentionally giving myself bad pot odds and I don't think I have much in implied odds. Do you all still think leading the turn is the best option? If so how much do you bet?

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Silly String

but the majority is calling a turn lead and then folding to a 3barrel

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isn't this the best thing possible??

BET THE TURN

BARREL!!!

Quote:

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Originally Posted by nutsinho

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Silly String

but the majority is calling a turn lead and then folding to a 3barrel

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isn't this the best thing possible??

BET THE TURN

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God, sometimes I feel so stupid for even posting. You make this such an EZ game, Nuts.
So, given my read, you are tripling this even if the flush draw whiffs, yes?

triple barrell

i don't rly see why you need to triple barrel

seems like pretty big spew actually

just bet the turn, plenty folds, and if he calls he prob has a strong hand