Need some info/articles on fold equity

Hi folks,

Been researching some theory and need a nice little article on fold equity. Anyone know of one?

Thanks!

is there copyright on the content of this site?
anyway, I posted a link to this same question about a week ago - just scroll down through the forum and I think you'll find it...

cheers i got that.

kinda vague but i think i get it.

vague? if there is something else you want to know just ask, here is the right place i think

well, in the thread i looked at people weren't agreeing on a water tight deffinition but that's ok.

I think fold equity is taking into account all the factors that would lead someone to fold.

I had a hand recently and there were SO many outs, i'd still kinda missed but i bet a reasonable amount on the turn. Hence I had a lot of fold equity in my play (or how do i word it.... the other player has fold equity? or i do?) and they folded.

Is that about right?

The definition of Fold Equity is: The percentage chance your opponent will fold to this play calculated in chips that are yours due to the percentage chance.

Lets say there's a 15% chance your opponent may fold a 100 dollar pot to you.

That means making that play gives you $15 dollars just by making it. This at first glance, seems like a bad play. Which is why pure bluffs are so bad, there is rarely enough fold equity in comparison to the amount you have to bet.

If you bet around a pot sized bet, with a 15% chance your opponent is going to fold, you've wasted a ton of money.

The reason the calculation is equitous, is because Let's say you make a flop bluff with say, the nut flush draw. Your opponent bets out a pot sized bet, and you raise 3 times that pot sized bet on the flop. There is a 15% chance your opponent will fold here PLUS the 19% chance you'll hit your flush on the turn PLUS the very good chance (Say 95%) that your opponent will let you see the river for free bringing you up to like a 35% chance to hit your flush.

So that Bluff may end up being worth about 50% of the pot.

Which is ALWAYS good.

Finally the percentages I threw around are almost all opponent dependant. One opponent may fold to that bet 100% of the time, another may never fold to that bet. It's up to you to gauge.

The only percent that is static in this whole post is the chance to hit your flush by the river.

cheers for that :)

noted.