Quote:
Originally Posted by DrivingDog
I don't think you played this hand badly, but I would suggest a different tack on the turn that no-one has put forward yet.
Preflop: We're getting 7:1 on a call with two suited cards. Easy call.
Flop: Monster draw. Ram and jam.
Turn: Once BB raises the flop and calls our 3bet, it's very unlikely he is going to fold the turn if we lead out. The thought process that leading out and getting BB to raise so Btn will fold a FD or 7x must be based on a different game because Btn never folds these hands in any LHE game I've ever been in.
However, our draw has now become so big (9 outs to flush, 6 to straight, and 5 to two pair or trips - almost half the deck), that when BB bets and Btn calls I would seriously consider a c/r for value as we definitely have more than 1/3 share of the equity in this pot.
It might also gain us some fold equity (either on the turn or if we bet the river again UI) because a flop 3bet and turn c/r is an extremely strong move that even the boys at 0.5/1 will notice. The final plus is that it disguises our hand making it much more likely we will get crying calls on the river if we do hit.
Alternatively, by just calling along on the turn we then face a situation where we have to lead if we hit the river because we won't know if the card that made our hand will scare everyone else out of betting.
In essence then, the turn c/r actually improves our implied odds while at the same time building the pot when we have an equity advantage and possibly gaining us some valuable FE in a huge pot.
Dog, as always, I really like your response and arguments.
Since i really respect your opinions on LHE matters, i would like to ask what you think about some thoughts i have on the hand.
1st, let me state that on my first response i didn't notice the turn paired us, increasing our equity.
So, acknowledging we have an equity edge and thus benefit from all bets going in...
1) Isn't bet/3bet an even better play? Especially if we think button will never fold?
2) Another issue is i notice you are sure no one will/should fold an X7 hand on button? Is this correct?
This would mean i sometimes make some bad folds in my game...
Being in button's position with, say, Jc7c, i would fold to a turn raise since most my outs are really dirty and it's a textbook case of reversed implied odds where i could make my hand and still lose.
3) Ts and 5s can't really be counted as outs. My pair outs are bad with so much action, and i may be up against a hand like T7 where i still lose when a non spade 5 comes on the river. Especially playing against the blinds. Also, i could be drawing to a split which is never a good proposition with lots of action.
What do you think?
thx