$5 - SNGWIZ says push??

Villian's stats are 26/6 over 53 hands.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (4 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver Cards)

UTG (t2785)
Button (t840)
SB (t8030)
Hero (t1845)

Preflop: Hero is BB with http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/.../smiles/4s.gif, http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/.../smiles/5s.gif.
1 fold, Button raises to t815, 1 fold, Hero???

615 to call into a pot of 1215...so 2:1 to call...thus needing to win 1 in 3 hands (33%) to make this profitable. I can't find a call here. Am I missing something?

I think the button pushes ATC here. Against that range, your hand has 41% equity. Even if he pushes only top 10%, you still have 34% equity. (According to pokerstove.) Call it. You've got math on your side. :)

Button should be shoving ATC which would make this a call (albeit not a very +EV one) however players in this spot often don't shove nearly as wide as they should, thinking that they don't have much FE. If Button has any semblance of knowing what he is doing, I call.

Not sure what I was doing earlier to get my numbers, but they were different that what you got. I must have been doing something wrong, but now see the numbers you are getting. Guess I need to use pokerstove more :)

So, seeing that I need to win 33% of the time to make this call profitable...do you look at the equity% or win%? Either way, it's a call here.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by mikeneron

Not sure what I was doing earlier to get my numbers, but they were different that what you got. I must have been doing something wrong, but now see the numbers you are getting. Guess I need to use pokerstove more :)

So, seeing that I need to win 33% of the time to make this call profitable...do you look at the equity% or win%? Either way, it's a call here.

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The thing is, you need to take the ICM effect into account - so you shouldn't just be looking at chip EV, if you don't have SNG Wiz then you need to use an ICM calculator to figure out your $ EV if you fold, call and win, or call and lose.

snap call for me