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I don't believe
Oppoent is THEDUTCHE4141
I got him at 19/17 and he's generally pretty nitty but really likes to follow up his aggression with more aggression.
BTN is loose and fishy, but folds most of his hands post-flop.
At first I was playing back at him, then he started playing back at and barreling me. I've folded to a couple multi-barrel lines from him. At this point, there is a fair amount of distrust between us.
$1/$2 No Limit Holdem
PokerStars
6 players
Converted at weaktight.com
Stacks:
Hero ($203.00)
UTG+1 ($63.70)
CO ($238.00)
BTN ($129.40)
SB ($198.00)
BB ($276.45)
Pre-flop: ($3, 6 players) Hero is UTG :qd: :qh:
Hero raises to $6, 2 folds, BTN calls $6, 1 fold, BB calls $4
Flop: :ah: :4d: :4h: ($19, 3 players)
BB checks, Hero checks, BTN checks
Turn: :8d: ($19, 3 players)
BB bets $14, Hero calls $14, 1 fold
River: :7c: ($47, 2 players)
BB tanks about 5 sec....BB bets $30, Hero calls $30
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The point is?
Your hand is pretty much face up and he SHOULD value bet any A here. But I do agree his range is an A or air.
If you showed willingness to call lite its a fold. If you been folding a lot, its an ok call.
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If you don't bet the flop I think you pretty much have to call here especially when all the draws missed.
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Basic play is that I would call. Double flushdraws missed and he did not bet the flop. if he has a weak ace there its really not much to say about it.
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According to stove you are 47/53 vs the range I set up. I guess it is an odds based call.
I think a 19/17 would play a weak Ace just like this versus an aggro player like you, but I also think you can heavily discount Axs from his range too since a 19/17 is much more likely to call out of the BB w/ a SC or sml-med PP. What do his 3betting tendencies tell you about SC & small PPs during a very attractive squeeze opportunity such as this?
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 47.059% 47.06% 00.00% 32 0.00 { QdQh }
Hand 1: 52.941% 52.94% 00.00% 36 0.00 { JJ-77, AJs-A2s, QdJd, JdTd, Jd9d, Td9d, T8s, 98s, 9d7d, 87s, 8d6d, 7d6d, 7d5d, 6d5d, 54s }