Calling station ranges

Ok, so the table itself is absurdly taggy. This V was calling a lot, everyone else raised or folded everything. Button was a reg, 9/6/1, so I was ready to just give up if he ever woke up.

V is 60/15/3, only over 35 hands, but it's enough to say he's loose.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (8 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

SB ($17.10)
BB ($14.35)
UTG ($13.30)
UTG+1 ($27.20)
MP1 ($24.60)
MP2 ($80.55)
Hero ($28.50)
Button ($29.35)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 8http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif, 9http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...es/diamond.gif.
4 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, 2 folds, BB calls $0.50.

Flop: ($1.60) 4http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif, 2http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif, 6http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1, BB calls $1.

Turn: ($3.60) Thttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $2.75, BB folds.

Final Pot: $3.60

Here's the issue:
V's calling range preflop is huge, his calling range on the flop I don't think changes too much here. Since I had seen him fold on later streets before, I figure I have some FE. My question is how much FE? Without a sample set, all we have to work with is a stereotype, this guy is a calling station. This is such a common situation at this limit. Even playing during the day, I rarely have a decent sample set on more than 2 players at a given table.

So to find out if a c-bet is good here, we need his calling range, his folding range, and his raising range.

Calling range:
66,44,22,ATs,KTs,QTs,JTs,T9s,ATo,KTo,QTo,JTo,T9o
(7.4% of total hands, we have 22%EQ)

folding range:
AJs,A9s-A2s,KJs+,K9s-K8s,QJs,97s+,87s,76s,AJo+,A9o-A2o,KJo+,K9o,QJo,J9o,97o+,87o (22% of total hands)

raising range:
I have no idea, but we're folding if he does.

So we'll say he raises 10% of the time and if he does, we forfeit all equity by folding.

-starts math-
-stops math-

I stopped halfway thru the math because if my ranges are correct than this bet is super +++++EV. At the time I made it I thought it was a really unique situation. I was going based on a non-stat-based read. He folded on the turn before, he folded on the river before. He was loose. The more I look at it I get into these situations fairly often. How often can you expect a guy like this to fold to a second or third barrel? At what point can we say it's better to take the free card for a str8. We have a hand that's beat by anything and everything if we blank the river, so we're not playing for a call-down, we're playing for a fold. With a hand so weak we either completely give up on it or we try to bluff here and then make the same decision again on the river.

I can't be bothered to read your post fully because after I looked at the hand and the title it does not make sense.

We dont need to bluff callign stsations ever, becasue when we do hit a hand we take them to valuetown.

dont bluff loose stations in lower stake games. However, it's an excellent spot to double barrel against standard players. Usually, if tightish players still call my turn bet, i shove his ass on the river, which works like a charm. :cool: