Quote:
Originally Posted by bigspenda73
I figure each one of my parlays could win 20%percent of the time.
(.8*.7*.7*.5=.196)
That means I give myself more than a 50% chance to connect on any of the 3 given parlays, meaning my actual return would be something like $55.
I'm not following the math here, what is that formula?
0.8*0.8*0.8 = 0.512, which means there is a 51% chance you go busto
If the odds are right, they say each parlay wins %10 of the time, which yields:
0.9*0.9*0.9 = 73% chance busto
If you think you have that edge then I don't think it's terrible to take it, assuming you are ok loosing it all.
Aside:
where are you getting 9:1 on a 4 team parlay (vegas)? That sucks
SportsBook - 13.1:1
Pinnacle - 12:1
Mansion - 12:1
Skybook - 11:1