AQs Paired flop - TPGK + Flush draw faces massive overbet

villain is 24/5 after 21 hands. Trips are unlikely here so wtf does he have and what do I do about it?



Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

MP2 ($50)
MP3 ($78.49)
CO ($8.75)
Button ($63.90)
SB ($80.15)
BB ($68.42)
UTG ($98.75)
Hero ($50)
MP1 ($108.64)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif, Qhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif. SB posts a blind of $0.25.
1 fold, Hero raises to $2, MP1 calls $2, MP2 calls $2, MP3 calls $2, 1 fold, Button calls $2, SB (poster) calls $1.75, BB calls $1.50.

Flop: ($14) Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif, 3http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif, 3http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif (7 players)
SB checks, BB bets $8, Hero calls $8, MP1 folds, MP2 folds, MP3 folds, Button folds, SB folds.

Turn: ($30) 9http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif (2 players)
BB calls $58.42 (All-In), Hero ???

To such a massive overbet, I lay this down reluctantly. With that unreal amount of callers, it's highly likely someone is holding a 3. And in that case you're dead to 9 outs on the river and you're definitely not getting odds.
It does seem ridiculous that someone would play a 3 like this...but I've seen crazier things. In a some odd fish's mind he's greedily rubbing his hands together thinking you have an ace and can't get away from it.

Sidenote : If that many people are regularly calling your raises, I'd start raising it 5 or 6x BB. I can't envision winning many 7-way pots (Not saying you did anything wrong, but damn...that is one tiiiiiight table).

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Ravageur

If that many people are regularly calling your raises, I'd start raising it 5 or 6x BB. I can't envision winning many 7-way pots (Not saying you did anything wrong, but damn...that is one loose? table).

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This was the first time one of my raises got more than 1 or 2 callers.

i want to call here, it doesnt make sense.
Lay it down however i think.

i think this is an somewhat easy fold because of the number of players he bet into on the flop.

Ok. What do you think he has though?

Also do you like the flop call?

BB has a 3 here I think. Maybe even A3. Possibly a very aggressive A9, since you are the one guy who DOESN'T have a 3.

If it was K33 then I could see a bluff, but not with the A out.

Raising the flop here is not horrible, especailly if you are not willing to call down with TPGK.

He would have to have a huge read on you to bluff thinking you will lay down an A.

He has 99 and your flush is dead. Want to take a chance on a 2 outer? I would have to fold this.....

Either that or a stone cold bluff, PP that missed and doesn't believe you have an A. I don't have the balls to pick it off, though...

Easy fold. Be thankful he didn't make you waste more money on a second-best hand.

Just for the results orientated I called since his play made no sense to me at all and usually when something doesnt make sense to me its a bluff or something i need to make a note of.

He flipped AK and I rivered the flush.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Pelion

Just for the results orientated I called since his play made no sense to me at all and usually when something doesnt make sense to me its a bluff or something i need to make a note of.

He flipped AK and I rivered the flush.

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i can see why you called

Make that note! :P

Not to be results oriented(or not)....

Flop:I think a raise or fold is the move-just calling really doesn't tell a whole lot.If your FD was to the flop then a call is better.

Turn:looks ok.

overbet=strength

Quote:

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Originally Posted by IowaSkinsFan

overbet=strength

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he had tptk, we call that strength?
Why bet all in oop after the flop action, it looks more like protection with fold equity than anything monstorish