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AA line check
Villain was 31/0/1 over three orbits. Due to his stats and the relatively friendly board, I called the turn push thinking he very likely had TPGK. How's my line?
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (8 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)
BB ($17.80)
Hero ($27.75)
UTG+1 ($17)
MP1 ($23.60)
MP2 ($12.45)
CO ($31.90)
Button ($23.50)
SB ($29.85)
Preflop: Hero is UTG with Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...es/diamond.gif, Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif.
Hero raises to $1, 3 folds, CO calls $1, Button calls $1, 2 folds.
Flop: ($3.35) 3http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif, Jhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif, 4http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...es/diamond.gif (3 players)
Hero bets $2.5, CO folds, Button calls $2.50.
Turn: ($8.35) 6http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif (2 players)
Hero bets $5, Button raises to $20, Hero calls $15.
River: ($48.35) 3http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif (2 players)
Final Pot: $48.35
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I think ur beat.
This is how sets are played on those stakes.
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30 hands really doesnt mean much, it shows he is fairly passive though. If you are trusting your read so much then why call a push from a passive player after a PFR, a 3/4 flop bet and 2/3 turn bet? Remember, he is passive. Is this a hard hand to lay down, yea, nobody really enjoys folding AA, but from a passive player we arent going to be ahead enough here.
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I don't trust 30 hands too much either, and would disregard the post flop aggression number for that sample size, but I would much rather call a push from someone showing something like 31/20 then 31/0. These stats combined with his line against your significant aggression make me lean toward a fold, but without them I would call because 25nl has a lot of people that overplay mediocre hands. Before the call looks good to me though.
Edit..actually I would fold without a read too. Dislexic is right, most 25nl players call the turn with a hand you're beating.