Turned flush on a paired board....

Villan is an aggro 50/19

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 max, 5 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

SB ($198.65)
BB ($275.80)
UTG ($200)
MP ($99.05)
Hero ($376.05)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A:club:, K:club:. SB posts a blind of $1.
2 folds, Hero raises to $6, SB (poster) calls $5, BB calls $4.

Flop: ($18) 3:club:, 4:diamond:, 4:club: (3 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $10, SB folds, BB raises to $25, Hero calls $15.

Turn: ($68) J:club: (2 players)
BB bets $35, Hero ...

your line? what do you put him on on the flop, turn?

Think he's playing an overpair and it could be JJ but i think more likely QQ<

Think I raise here.

Player from the BB who plays 50% of his hands? I think there is a wider range here...

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Warpe

Think he's playing an overpair and it could be JJ but i think more likely QQ<

Think I raise here.

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Ugh. Well, then it could be anything from Ax (A3, A4, specifically), AJ down to 33, but I'm not going to make the "since you posted it you must've lost" assumption...

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Warpe

but I'm not going to make the "since you posted it you must've lost" assumption...

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I don't do that, often...

My point in posting this hand is to get a feel for how much of your stack you'll put out there with a paired board vs this type of opponent. His flop raise says to me that he has either an overpair, something like A3/A4 or a 56 strt draw.

I called the turn hoping to stack him in on the river when he bets into me again. Then the river comes :3s: ....

Double ugh.

Hard not to go broke with the nut flush but based on his betting pattern if he had a set he had it on the flop and just made his fh or quads. A cheap showdown is the goal now, I think. Call the river/fold to a push, tho if he's aggro a push is likely.

With the usual caveats that I am clueless... there are not a lot of reasonable hands that are beating you on the turn. 33/44/34!/ JJ and J4. I guess J4 check raises on that flop, but so does X4. 44 34 or 33 - I would predict slow play.

I agree with the call here. Only a 3 or 4 can draw out, and they have 3-4 outs

Turn 3... now any 3 or 4 beats you. I think I call the river. I might even call an all-in. You can't be too afraid of a boat of 3s and 4s.