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Call or Fold
The one read I had on this guy is he had made ridulous reraises like this before. My guess is he did this when he felt he had the nuts. I really couldn't get T3 out of my head. but i figured he could probably have Tx, probably not AT though.
Game #1203428549 - (blinds $0.05/$0.10) No Limit Texas Hold'em - 2006/01/08-09:43:51.2 (CST) Table "Pilo (5 max)" (real money) -- Seat 5 is the button Seat 1: spadeologist ($1.75 in chips) Seat 2: untasty ($11.71 in chips) Seat 3: redgrape ($15.57 in chips) Seat 4: rog B ($3.40 in chips) Seat 5: hammer1951 ($25.30 in chips)
spadeologist: Post Small Blind ($0.05)
untasty : Post Big Blind ($0.10)
redgrape: Post ($0.15)
Dealing...
Dealt to redgrape [ 9h ]
Dealt to redgrape [ Ts ]
redgrape: Check
rog B : Call ($0.10)
hammer1951: Call ($0.10)
spadeologist: Call ($0.05)
untasty : Check
*** FLOP *** : [ Td Tc As ]
spadeologist: Check
untasty : Check
redgrape: Bet ($0.30)
rog B : Call ($0.30)
hammer1951: Call ($0.30)
spadeologist: Fold
untasty : Call ($0.30)
*** TURN *** : [ Td Tc As ] [ 3s ]
untasty : Check
redgrape: Bet ($1.20)
rog B : Fold
hammer1951: Fold
untasty : Raise ($11.31)
redgrape: ???
Here's the Math
Board: Ts Tc Ah 3d
Dead:
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 51.2175 % 32.31% 18.91% { T9o }
Hand 2: 48.7825 % 29.87% 18.91% { TT, KTs, QTs, JTs, T2s+, KTo, QTo, JTo, T2o+ }
I seriously doubted at the time that he could have anything but a Ten, He was doing these reraises though more frequently than you think someone who had the definite nuts would do.
Thoughts?
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can someone help me out here?
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I might call him and put him on Ax, or maybe pocket 3s, he would have had odds to call the flop bet with pocket 3s there.
If you said he was raising a lot like this I might call him here.
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They probably have a 10 but from the BB the kicker could be anything. Your 9 is as average as it gets so its 50:50 but if you think theres even a 10% chance of a bluff/weaker hand then I think its a call