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Beginner comment:
When he makes his turn raise to extract value, he has (imo):
55 or 22 for the boat, JJ for the quads or any J that he would call PF raise with in BB. I call it J with Q-A kicker, suit or off. If we consider AJ may have been 3bet PF, this may be countered by the potential for playing JTs and J9s - not sure. Anyway - PokerStove sez:
Board: Jh 5h Jc 2h
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 59.639% 59.64% 00.00% 761 0.00 { Ah3h }
Hand 1: 40.361% 40.36% 00.00% 515 0.00 { JJ, 55, 22, AJs, KJs, QJs, AJo, KJo, QJo }
Tight alternative (he's not that tight I think): AJs raised PF, no QJs in range, KJo also folded:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 37.587% 37.59% 00.00% 215 0.00 { Ah3h }
Hand 1: 62.413% 62.41% 00.00% 357 0.00 { JJ, 55, 22, KJs, AJo }
Even this is pretty close to being good EV. And if he 3bets AJs PF he'd probably 3bet JJ also.
It all looks good to me.
Second edit: This is not even going into hands like KhQh which you absolutely crush.
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