01-26-2018 07:14 PM
#376
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01-26-2018 07:15 PM
#377
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01-26-2018 07:15 PM
#378
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01-26-2018 07:18 PM
#379
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01-26-2018 07:19 PM
#380
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01-26-2018 07:20 PM
#381
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I can't help but admire you for sticking to your message. |
01-26-2018 07:21 PM
#382
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01-26-2018 07:21 PM
#383
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Let's take this to discord | |
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01-26-2018 07:36 PM
#384
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I think your argument is genuine and makes a good point. | |
01-26-2018 07:52 PM
#385
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My take on Taleb is that he's a gifted mathematician who for whatever reason tried to apply his skills to a field to which they aren't suited and then got butthurt when they weren't appreciated by people in a field they weren't suited to. He then pointed out what a waste of his talent that field was and everyone knowledgeable about maths agreed and everyone else got the other message that certain fields have too much variance for anyone trying to find some predictive parameter to make a useful model. | |
01-26-2018 07:57 PM
#386
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01-26-2018 08:18 PM
#387
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My personal synopsis of Taleb's narrative is that he went into the field of high finance for the purpose of becoming wealthy (why else would you go into high finance, not for a love of maths certainly?), realized it had limited or no benefit for a math genius (the variance outweighed the mean by a bigly amount), argued such and such with who and who, and came to the conclusion that there is a better way to explain economic vagaries than the normal distribution. That last bit in itself is a clear and worthy insight. There is no credit denied there. Absolutely the man is clever at math. | |
01-26-2018 08:22 PM
#388
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What do you think about his stuff with GMO |
01-26-2018 08:23 PM
#389
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Taleb has convinced me that he is worth listening to, but that doesn't mean he has convinced me that what he says is worth believing. |
01-26-2018 08:24 PM
#390
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I love the IYI and the skin in the game thing. Some people have head in ass syndrome. It's real. |
01-26-2018 08:35 PM
#391
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01-26-2018 08:42 PM
#392
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GMOs are the shit, they've fed the fuck out of tons of people who would have starved to fucking death | |
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01-26-2018 08:57 PM
#393
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Yeah, something like that. | |
01-26-2018 09:30 PM
#394
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01-26-2018 09:36 PM
#395
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Funny thing* regarding Taleb, I'm like rah rah at like 2/3rds of what he says about economics but the rest is like dude needs to learn. |
01-26-2018 11:38 PM
#396
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Funny to note that this thread is full of fucking cucks | |
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01-28-2018 06:53 AM
#397
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01-28-2018 09:28 AM
#398
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"Let's meet a Russian with some dirt on our opponent." Yep, nothing to see there. | |
01-28-2018 11:12 AM
#399
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The Russians offered information and asked for a meeting. OF COURSE YOU TAKE THE MEETING!! |
01-28-2018 11:20 AM
#400
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We know Russia offered dirt to the Trump campaign. We have absolutely no evidence to suggest that it was accepted, despite 18 months of massive efforts to find some. Also, there's even less evidence that the Trump campaign offered anything in return, which is a key element of collusion. |
01-28-2018 01:09 PM
#401
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Russia was playing both sides, but they were playing Clinton's side much harder because [for most people] she was expected to win. | |
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01-28-2018 01:25 PM
#402
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And yet despite being pure down to his toes, Trump fired one guy who was investigating him on Russia and tried to fire the next one... | |
01-28-2018 01:45 PM
#403
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There's no evidence that he "tried to fire the next one," just hearsay. There's also no evidence he fired the first guy because of anything to do with Russia. There's not much evidence that the first guy was even investigating him over Russia. Any assertions otherwise make you look like a clown. | |
Last edited by spoonitnow; 01-28-2018 at 01:51 PM. | |
01-28-2018 02:21 PM
#404
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Well even Hannity's sources (eventually) confirmed it. That's good enough for me. | |
01-28-2018 02:58 PM
#405
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I should have known better than to try to poke at it with logic. It gets cranky when you do that. | |
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01-28-2018 03:00 PM
#406
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How would it have looked if he fired Comey, and then when asked why, he answered "It's classified" |
Last edited by BananaStand; 01-28-2018 at 03:03 PM. | |
01-28-2018 03:24 PM
#407
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01-28-2018 03:25 PM
#408
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01-28-2018 03:34 PM
#409
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01-28-2018 03:39 PM
#410
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01-28-2018 03:44 PM
#411
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Sorry, I must be unclear on the definition of "insult". You referred to my argument as "propaganda" (as if yours isn't, lol), and likened me to one of the worst human rights violators in history. What do you call that? |
01-28-2018 03:51 PM
#412
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01-28-2018 03:52 PM
#413
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01-28-2018 03:59 PM
#414
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That's right it isn't. What's your point? | |
01-28-2018 04:25 PM
#415
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01-28-2018 04:41 PM
#416
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01-28-2018 04:47 PM
#417
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01-28-2018 04:57 PM
#418
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01-28-2018 04:58 PM
#419
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01-28-2018 05:02 PM
#420
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I'm expecting it to be pretty crap, especially with Steph, which is a shame because the best of womens wrestling is pretty great. |
01-28-2018 05:11 PM
#421
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Grown men following pro wrestling?? You brits really need better pro sports. |
01-28-2018 05:26 PM
#422
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if anything, I'm under-xagerating. | |
01-28-2018 05:34 PM
#423
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Nope. The bulleted list at the top lists 3 reasons, and the first two are the same. Trump lost confidence in Comey. Rosenstein echoed those sentiments. That's two reasons. And they do not have to be mutually exclusive. |
01-28-2018 05:51 PM
#424
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There are all kinds of reasons given in that article - recommendation from DoJ, poor handling of Hillary's email investigation, Russia investigation was a witch hunt, etc., that all changed depending on whether you were talking to Trump, Spicer, Rosenstein, or Sessions, and when. | |
01-28-2018 05:54 PM
#425
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01-28-2018 06:00 PM
#426
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Actually, I'm starting to think Trump just wants to fire everybody all the time, and maybe it has nothing to do with what they're up to. | |
01-28-2018 06:16 PM
#427
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No, just two. |
Last edited by BananaStand; 01-28-2018 at 06:18 PM. | |
01-28-2018 06:26 PM
#428
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01-28-2018 11:32 PM
#429
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01-29-2018 06:42 AM
#430
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01-29-2018 06:51 AM
#431
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Also, I need it explained to me how Trump firing Comey, or considering firing others, is an indication of his guilt. |
01-29-2018 07:19 AM
#432
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The Orange Ocular Effect. Since Trump is smart he can't have done anything stupid. | |
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01-29-2018 07:35 AM
#433
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"anything's possible" is not a compelling reason to spend 2 years and triple-digit millions of tax payer dollars on a political stunt whose sole purpose is to undermine a duly elected president. |
01-29-2018 11:23 AM
#434
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Quite enjoyed the PPV. Kami & AJ are all fantastic but that crying about authority storyline is getting a little boring and it's only leading to another sami v ko match I've seen too many times as much as I think they're both great. Only match that didn't really do anything for me was the raw tag match. |
01-29-2018 11:27 AM
#435
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Like sands through the hourglass..... |
01-29-2018 11:50 AM
#436
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01-29-2018 11:51 AM
#437
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01-29-2018 11:53 AM
#438
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01-29-2018 12:26 PM
#439
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The alternate explanation assumes that Trump is guilty of collusion. It assumes that the man who has accumulated immense wealth, achieved celebrity status, and became a wildly successful politician is also monumentally stupid. It assumes that the living icon of business success fails to grasp public relations and political optics in ways that are obvious even to ordinary citizens. And it assumes that efforts to conceal his crime were undermined by an accidental confession to Lester Holt. |
01-29-2018 01:21 PM
#440
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Actually, my present preferred hypothesis is that he doesn't like the investigation because it's going to turn up dirt on him that otherwise wouldn't come to light. Money-laundering with Russians is one possibility, given his history of shady dealings (Trump University being the classic example). The guy clearly hasn't been flying straight in his business life and he doesn't want to be investigated under any pretense. | |
01-29-2018 01:23 PM
#441
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01-29-2018 01:45 PM
#442
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You're missing the point. |
01-29-2018 01:48 PM
#443
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01-29-2018 01:54 PM
#444
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Sounds like you guys are real victims. | |
01-29-2018 01:58 PM
#445
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That still assumes that a very stable genius capable of the successes that Trump has enjoyed, is also stupid enough to ignore the fact that firing one guy wouldn't stop the investigation, and that it looks bad. |
01-29-2018 02:01 PM
#446
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01-29-2018 02:06 PM
#447
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01-29-2018 02:07 PM
#448
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01-29-2018 02:08 PM
#449
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Deputy FBI Director, and former acting Director Andrew McCabe took "terminal leave" today. Basically burning up all his vacation time before he's officially allowed to retire in March. |
01-29-2018 02:08 PM
#450
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