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  1. #5701
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    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    This would vastly increase the incentive for not smart people to go to college

    You can’t just “go to college” cause you decided to go to college, right? There are still tests and prerequisites that you have to have or complete. I think that is where our opinions vastly differ.


    Also you don’t get paid to go to college. The tools will be at your disposal, it will be up to you to make the most of it.


    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    On a side note, aren't you a Glenn Greenwald guy? He talks everyday about corruption in government. Giving such an entity the keys to kids minds is a bad idea.

    I’m not really a Greenwald guy, but I’m not wearing a tinfoil hat either. Again, we’ve seen it happen elsewhere. Must be a way this can be done, amirite?


    And yes, the (your) government is tremendously corrupt, have you been following the news lately?
    But that’s a different story for another time.
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  2. #5702
    Quote Originally Posted by Jack Sawyer View Post
    Purposefully dense, I see
    Personal attacks are really not helping this discussion.

    Quote Originally Posted by Jack Sawyer View Post
    Not nearly enough to make any positive change whatsoever
    So how much would be enough? We've thrown TONS of money at the problem and, according to you, nothing's changed. What do you call it when you do the same thing repeatedly but expect different results??

    Quote Originally Posted by Jack Sawyer View Post
    Cry me a river
    You just got through saying that cutting our ice cream budget wouldn't hurt one bit. I just explained to you how all of the ice cream producers, which represent a massive section of the economy, are out of a job. Unemployment hurts the economy. Just because YOU personally, don't see a need for ice cream, doesn't mean that you're right.

    Quote Originally Posted by Jack Sawyer View Post
    Where/how did you get this information? And please, don’t tell me you got it from some Fox News segment.
    First of all, I've cited way more sources here than fox news. And I'm not going to let you disqualify them because they rarely align with your viewpoint. They're #1, so they're doing something right. But to make it go down easier....here's the answer from your liberal socialist bible...the NY Times.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2015/04/05/o...s-so-much.html

    The bit about massive increases in administrators, not faculty, spending is alarming. Going back to my GM example. Let's say we gave GM money so that they could subsidize $10,000 of a car, and thus poor people could afford to buy one. Now suppose instead GM just jacked up the price of every car by $10,000 and pocketed the extra profits. That would be scandalous!! Yet you want the government to do the exact same thing with education, and you call it effective government spending.
  3. #5703
    Quote Originally Posted by Poopadoop View Post
    Employers prefer college education people because that education gives them an advantage in being able to learn new things and to think for themselves.
    NO!! Not even close!

    In theory you're right. College should be a proving ground for your ability to work independently, learn new things, and apply that knowledge during the course of completing a long term goal. Except, when you invite every single person, regardless of merit, to attend college you cheapen the meaning of college.

    Now companies just hire college graduates cause....."why not"
  4. #5704
    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    Personal attacks are really not helping this discussion.

    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    But to make it go down easier....here's the answer from your liberal socialist bible...the NY Times.
    It's funny how you forgot how you started the post by the time you got to your last point.
  5. #5705
    Quote Originally Posted by Jack Sawyer View Post
    You can’t just “go to college” cause you decided to go to college, right? There are still tests and prerequisites that you have to have or complete.
    Nope

    I enrolled in a Master's program once upon a time. There were prerequisites. Specifically you had to be 25 and have at least 3 years full time relevant work experience.

    I went to them and said "i'm 23 and graduated 6 months ago"

    They said "you're in"
  6. #5706
    Quote Originally Posted by Poopadoop View Post
    It's funny how you forgot how you started the post by the time you got to your last point.
    I know....I'm fucking hilarious.
  7. #5707
    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    NO!! Not even close!

    In theory you're right.
    And in practice.


    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    College should be a proving ground for your ability to work independently, learn new things, and apply that knowledge during the course of completing a long term goal.
    Not sure what college you're thinking of, but pretty sure that's a lot of what it is.


    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    Except, when you invite every single person, regardless of merit, to attend college you cheapen the meaning of college.
    Not everyone gets into college.


    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    Now companies just hire college graduates cause....."why not"
    Riiiight.
  8. #5708
    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    Nope

    I enrolled in a Master's program once upon a time. There were prerequisites. Specifically you had to be 25 and have at least 3 years full time relevant work experience.

    I went to them and said "i'm 23 and graduated 6 months ago"

    They said "you're in"
    Not every course takes everyone. Obviously you know that.
  9. #5709
    Quote Originally Posted by Poopadoop View Post
    Not every course takes everyone. Obviously you know that.
    Right, but for every person, regardless of qualification, there is a school that will take them.

    Quote Originally Posted by Poopadoop View Post
    Not everyone gets into college.
    Everyone who wants to, gets into college.
  10. #5710
    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    Right, but for every person, regardless of qualification, there is a school that will take them.
    Like Trump University.
  11. #5711
    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    Right, but for every person, regardless of qualification, there is a school that will take them.


    Everyone who wants to, gets into college.
    Not the college they necessarily want to go to though.
  12. #5712
    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    when you invite every single person, regardless of merit, to attend college you cheapen the meaning of college.
    It's only certain degrees that are cheap, and anyone who investigates can find out which they are afaik. It's not like the fact there are fly-by-night colleges out there (and this is mostly a US thing fwiw), doesn't mean a degree from Harvard is garbage.
  13. #5713
    Quote Originally Posted by Poopadoop View Post
    Not the college they necessarily want to go to though.
    So?
  14. #5714
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    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    I believe I answered it.....because they can.

    What does a college degree say about a prospective employee, banana stand?


    You do know that at some point you will have to demonstrate to know how to do the job you are applying for, right?


    Either through the “Here is my Management degree” or the “Here is the amount of places and references in which I have held a management position”. Of course people will still be taken w/o degree, and it also goes without saying that the degree helps you in preparing for the life ahead.


    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    30% of community college curriculum are remedial. If you're in the "college should be free" crowd, then that means you expect the government to pay for something twice. I consider that a failing of government.

    http://www.apmreports.org/story/2016...education-trap


    It’s a failing of your particular education system. I had no idea those existed, and we do not have that in my country.


    Around here, it’s like this: Finish Havo; go to HBO/HTS. Finish VWO; go to WO. That’s all there is to it. You can finish VWO and go to HBO/HTS if you want, but you will be considered smarter than others around you and generally given a faster trajectory.


    HBO/HTS are more like college, more practical. WO is more like university, more theoretical.

    There are also fully hands-on approaches which will land you in HBO/HTS as well (such as LTS/MTS), and from HBO you can go on to WO to earn an MSc or PhD.


    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    Don't worry about it. It was more of a tongue-in-cheek comment regarding the pervasiveness of one-sided liberal discussions on college campuses. I'm not sure 'well rounded' is the right way to describe a college graduate.

    It does color your judgement though.
    Last edited by Jack Sawyer; 02-24-2017 at 04:03 PM.
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  15. #5715
    Quote Originally Posted by Poopadoop View Post
    It's only certain degrees that are cheap, and anyone who investigates can find out which they are afaik. It's not like the fact there are fly-by-night colleges out there (and this is mostly a US thing fwiw), doesn't mean a degree from Harvard is garbage.
    Well I could argue that it does diminish the value of Harvard a bit. But it's somewhat hair splitting. What you're saying may be true for the slim minority of kids who go to Harvard, or Yale, or Princeton. But for graduates of the other 95% of colleges.....it's really a wash. I don't agree that only certain degrees are cheap. If we're talking just undergrad....you can be anything you wanna be. It's accessible to everyone.
  16. #5716
    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    So?
    So there's competition.

    No-one's suggesting every single person who survive to the age of 18 should get into Harvard all expenses paid for four or eight or twelve years just if they feel like it.

    Further, if tuition were made free, guess what - those shitty colleges would have no reason to exist since there would be standards. You couldn't just open a bonus uni to fleece people because that bogus uni would not get funded.
  17. #5717
    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    It's accessible to everyone.
    Well I don't know the US system, but that sounds kind of dumb. You should have some distinction between a vocational school where you learn to (say) be a welder, and a university where you earn a college degree. And the latter should have some standards.

    Also, don't all colleges have some level of prestige attached to them? I mean isn't it better to have a degree from (say) WSU than (say) Butte Community College, which in turn is better than (say) Bogus U?
  18. #5718
    Quote Originally Posted by Jack Sawyer View Post
    http://www.apmreports.org/story/2016...education-trap
    It’s a failing of your particular education system. I had no idea those existed, and we do not have that in my country.
    I'll finish the article later, but it does seem to prove my point. And if you're calling it a failing....maybe you're starting to agree with me. If the government fails at high school.....why do you think it would be better at college?

    Quote Originally Posted by Jack Sawyer View Post
    HBO/HTS are more like college, more practical. WO is more like university, more theoretical..
    A lot of acronyms in there mean nothing to me. I have no idea what you're talking about. However, I'm not sure you're correctly describing the distinction between college and university.

    I actually enrolled in a college after high school. A year and a half in they changed their name to 'university'. Apparently it's a distinction based on the quantity of doctoral programs you offer....not based on practical/theoretical teaching styles.
  19. #5719
    Quote Originally Posted by Poopadoop View Post
    Well I don't know the US system, but that sounds kind of dumb. You should have some distinction between a vocational school where you learn to (say) be a welder, and a university where you earn a college degree. And the latter should have some standards.
    We do. If you want to be a welder....you learn in a vocation high school

    Quote Originally Posted by Poopadoop View Post
    Also, don't all colleges have some level of prestige attached to them? I mean isn't it better to have a degree from (say) WSU than (say) Butte Community College, which in turn is better than (say) Bogus U?
    there are some 3000 colleges in the USA alone. Who could possibly keep all that straight? If you didn't go to one of the top 5% who have household names....it's pretty much all the same.
    Last edited by BananaStand; 02-24-2017 at 04:17 PM.
  20. #5720
    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    there are over 4000 colleges in the USA alone. Who could possibly keep all that straight? If you didn't go to one of the top 5% who have household names....it's pretty much all the same.
    I'm not suggesting an employer should memorize every college name and the value of a degree from each. What i was getting at is this - isn't there a place you can find an independent evaluation of a college? Like a ranking system?

    Beyond that, how do people decide where to go? They must have some idea of which places are better than others, apart from the top 5%.
  21. #5721
    Quote Originally Posted by Poopadoop View Post
    I'm not suggesting an employer should memorize every college name and the value of a degree from each. What i was getting at is this - isn't there a place you can find an independent evaluation of a college? Like a ranking system?
    Kinda, but not really. The school I went to claimed it was ranked in the top ten in the country for Accounting by US News and World Report. Deeper digging revealed that it was in the top 10 out of a list limited to certain schools that meet various criteria for school size, geography, demographics, etc. I don't remember exactly. But basically my school, out of ALL schools that offer accounting degrees was way down in the middle of the pack. But if you throw out schools that aren't in the same region, don't have comparable tuition, don't have comparable student body size, and keep narrowing the list like that....then it ranks in the top ten.

    So, yes there are rankings. But they're really convoluted, subjective, and irrelevant.

    Quote Originally Posted by Poopadoop View Post
    Beyond that, how do people decide where to go? They must have some idea of which places are better than others, apart from the top 5%.
    I live in New Hampshire. UNH is the beer school. Keene is the weed school. Plymouth is the liquor school.

    Pick your poison
  22. #5722
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    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    Personal attacks are really not helping this discussion.

    I’m not attacking you personally, I’m just calling it like it is. You were being purposefully dense AF back there, taking things out of context, putting words in mouths, etc. , go back and reread those.




    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    So how much would be enough? We've thrown TONS of money at the problem and, according to you, nothing's changed. What do you call it when you do the same thing repeatedly but expect different results??

    2016





    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    Im not sure I follow this analogy but it seems like you're just reiterating your previous point that if we cut military spending, we could subsidize college. Again....that's ALREADY HAPPENING. Military spending has increased 1.8 times since 1960. Legislative appropriations for higher education has increase 10x. Also....within that military spending you seem to despise so much is over half a billion dollars of tuition assistance.

    Half a billion (out of ~ 600 fucking billions)? OH EM GEE so generous




    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    You just got through saying that cutting our ice cream budget wouldn't hurt one bit. I just explained to you how all of the ice cream producers, which represent a massive section of the economy, are out of a job. Unemployment hurts the economy. Just because YOU personally, don't see a need for ice cream, doesn't mean that you're right.

    Ice cream is generally not as good for you as normal, healthy food. You do know this, right?


    Sidenote: this massive section of your economy benefits from perpetual war. See, you need to increase spending to keep the war going. You need more helmets, more planes, more tanks, more bullets. More war = more profits for merchants of war. Why would I give two shits as to their needs? What about those that are on the receiving end of their efforts?


    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    First of all, I've cited way more sources here than fox news. And I'm not going to let you disqualify them because they rarely align with your viewpoint. They're #1,



    NUMBER ONEEEEEEEEEEE!!!!!!!!! YEAAAAAHHH


    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    so they're doing something right. But to make it go down easier....here's the answer from your liberal socialist bible...the NY Times.


    https://www.nytimes.com/2015/04/05/o...s-so-much.html


    The bit about massive increases in administrators, not faculty, spending is alarming. Going back to my GM example. Let's say we gave GM money so that they could subsidize $10,000 of a car, and thus poor people could afford to buy one. Now suppose instead GM just jacked up the price of every car by $10,000 and pocketed the extra profits. That would be scandalous!! Yet you want the government to do the exact same thing with education, and you call it effective government spending.



    Hence my previous points which you undoubtedly either skipped over, simply did not see or didn’t care to understand.


    Quote Originally Posted by Jack Sawyer View Post
    Well, the fact that we are comparing Cadillacs is the problem. If all the schools are Cadillacs, ergo of proper yet homogeneous quality, what would be your problem then?

    Think about this a little bit first. How can you get to this point? Again, it has been demonstrated in practice to be possible elsewhere.








    BTW, FYI I don’t give a shit about the New York Times.
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  23. #5723
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    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    I'll finish the article later, but it does seem to prove my point. And if you're calling it a failing....maybe you're starting to agree with me. If the government fails at high school.....why do you think it would be better at college?



    Hahaha, dude we have been in agreement all along that it is a failure. It’s in the details that we disagree




    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    A lot of acronyms in there mean nothing to me. I have no idea what you're talking about. However, I'm not sure you're correctly describing the distinction between college and university.


    I actually enrolled in a college after high school. A year and a half in they changed their name to 'university'. Apparently it's a distinction based on the quantity of doctoral programs you offer....not based on practical/theoretical teaching styles.

    Don't worry, I got you covered. Basic difference is more theory vs. more practical. One is more difficult than the other. We have a clear difference between UNIVERSITEIT (research university) and HOGESCHOOL (college/University of Applied Sciences).


    http://www.rug.nl/feb/education/premaster/hbo?lang=en
    My dream... is to fly... over the rainbow... so high...


    Cogito ergo sum

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  24. #5724
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    Quote Originally Posted by Poopadoop View Post
    Like Trump University.

    Hahahahaha, good one
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    Cogito ergo sum

    VHS is like a book? and a book is like a stack of kindles.
    Hey, I'm in a movie!
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  25. #5725
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    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    I actually enrolled in a college after high school. A year and a half in they changed their name to 'university'. Apparently it's a distinction based on the quantity of doctoral programs you offer....not based on practical/theoretical teaching styles.

    Just to be clear, I’m talking about the studies, you are talking about the actual school. That does not matter, the actual study does. And the government makes sure that the studies are the same everywhere.
    My dream... is to fly... over the rainbow... so high...


    Cogito ergo sum

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  26. #5726
    Quote Originally Posted by Jack Sawyer View Post
    You can’t just “go to college” cause you decided to go to college, right?
    It's free; therefore you can. Otherwise, major constitutional crisis. This is why in K-12, where it is free, everybody within age is allowed to go virtually no exceptions. Ceteris paribus, making US college free would drastically reduce standards. Consequence of this would be harming people who should be in college.

    Also you don’t get paid to go to college. The tools will be at your disposal, it will be up to you to make the most of it.
    Yes you do. Room and board are included. If they were not, another constitutional crisis.

    I’m not really a Greenwald guy, but I’m not wearing a tinfoil hat either. Again, we’ve seen it happen elsewhere. Must be a way this can be done, amirite?
    What has happened elsewhere? All these places with drastically bigger taxes (a big cost) to pay for college are still sending their kids to US schools. In addition, the degree of success to which these systems are experiencing is heavily dependent upon their increased emphasis on vocation. Which is a whole nother can of worms, because academia is very much not supposed to be vocation.

    And yes, the (your) government is tremendously corrupt, have you been following the news lately?
    It's a bad idea for me to want it to intervene into peoples' educations. Got it.
  27. #5727
    Quote Originally Posted by Jack Sawyer View Post
    I’m not attacking you personally, I’m just calling it like it is. You were being purposefully dense AF back there, taking things out of context, putting words in mouths, etc. , go back and reread those.
    Fake news

    Quote Originally Posted by Jack Sawyer View Post
    Half a billion (out of ~ 600 fucking billions)? OH EM GEE so generous
    Stop...you do realize that a fighter jet costs more than a teacher, right? Plus, some of that money saved your ass in WW2. You might not even be here if it weren't for America's 'generosity'.

    Quote Originally Posted by Jack Sawyer View Post
    Ice cream is generally not as good for you as normal, healthy food. You do know this, right?
    You're trying to make an equivalence between military spending and junk food. I'm not playing anymore. Why can't the military be carrots? Totally health, but if you eat too many, your skin turns orange.

    Quote Originally Posted by Jack Sawyer View Post
    Sidenote: this massive section of your economy benefits from perpetual war. See, you need to increase spending to keep the war going. You need more helmets, more planes, more tanks, more bullets. More war = more profits for merchants of war. Why would I give two shits as to their needs? What about those that are on the receiving end of their efforts?
    Too glib. It's not like the money is going to stockpile grenades waiting for an invasion. The money goes to train people, who then take that training into the private sector. The money goes to develop new technologies, without which, we wouldn't have many of the advancements we have today. This forum wouldn't even exist if it weren't for DARPA.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_o...ary_inventions
    ^Any of that stuff impact the civilian economy in a positive way? Jets, internet, navigation, microwaves, radar....pretty important investments if you ask me.

    Quote Originally Posted by Jack Sawyer View Post
    NUMBER ONEEEEEEEEEEE!!!!!!!!! YEAAAAAHHH
    50 million elvis fans can't be wrong.

    Quote Originally Posted by Jack Sawyer View Post
    Hence my previous points which you undoubtedly either skipped over, simply did not see or didn’t care to understand.
    I'm not sure what you're referring to here. Seems that we're moving toward a conclusion that says: More gov't spending on higher education = higher cost/lower quality of higher education.


    Quote Originally Posted by Jack Sawyer View Post
    Think about this a little bit first. How can you get to this point?
    Why do we even want to get to that point? Whatever those other countries are doing, it's not working. Here's the top 100 colleges in the world. Alot of stars and stripes on that list my friend. 52% of worlds best higher learning institutions, including 8 of the top 10, are American.

    http://www.thebestschools.org/featur...n-world-today/
    Last edited by BananaStand; 02-24-2017 at 05:05 PM.
  28. #5728
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    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    Fake news
    I hope you're clever enough for this reply.
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  29. #5729
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    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    Now companies just hire college graduates cause....."why not"
    How fucking retarded are you?
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  30. #5730
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    I'm sorry for what this conversation has become, but all y'all need Jesus or Super Jesus.
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  31. #5731
    I think we should start an education thread as it's an interesting topic (I'm not good enough to write an engaging first post) but have any of you seen any good documentaries about education? The following are pretty good.

    Waiting for superman
    Approaching The Elephant
  32. #5732
    Quote Originally Posted by Savy View Post
    I think we should start an education thread as it's an interesting topic
    I agree, the discussion is interesting. But at the end of the day, the panacea for all of these educational woes is a parent who is engaged and gives a shit. And no matter how well you fund schools...you can't fix stupid.
  33. #5733
    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    I agree, the discussion is interesting. But at the end of the day, the panacea for all of these educational woes is a parent who is engaged and gives a shit. And no matter how well you fund schools...you can't fix stupid.
    Actually evidence provides otherwise. Hence the schools in Finland producing great results. Hence the chances in inner city american Charter schools providing great results.

    As someone who wants to get into teaching I would agree that stupid can't be fixed but ultimately the goals of children (everyone) are very low compared to what can be achieved* & this isn't important to what we want to happen.

    * As in I think almost any child in the UK could get a passing grade in maths if they had enough time and effort put into them. Of which I also think isn't a reasonable amount of tax payers £ given the current state of things.
  34. #5734
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    Quote Originally Posted by Savy View Post
    I think we should start an education thread as it's an interesting topic (I'm not good enough to write an engaging first post) but have any of you seen any good documentaries about education? The following are pretty good.

    Waiting for superman
    Approaching The Elephant
    There is

    https://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerf...te-200010.html
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  35. #5735
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    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    I agree, the discussion is interesting. But at the end of the day, the panacea for all of these educational woes is a parent who is engaged and gives a shit. And no matter how well you fund schools...you can't fix stupid.
    We agree on something.

    There comes the point where you realize that there is no reason to even try and fix stupid, as plowing the sea would be easier, i.e. still hopeless.
    My dream... is to fly... over the rainbow... so high...


    Cogito ergo sum

    VHS is like a book? and a book is like a stack of kindles.
    Hey, I'm in a movie!
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fYdwe3ArFWA
  36. #5736
    Quote Originally Posted by Jack Sawyer View Post
    So I'd already solved it and everyone ignored me.
  37. #5737
    Anybody watching Trump right now?

    He's actually looking and sounding presidential.
  38. #5738
    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    Anybody watching Trump right now?

    He's actually looking and sounding presidential.
    Keep dreaming.
  39. #5739
    Last night redpilled a lot of folks. How? Because many who dislike Trump and only get their information from hoaxers like CNN and the NYT watched Trump without the hoax-filter for the first time and found that they agreed with almost everything he said while all the crybaby Democrats sat there and disagreed with everything.

    Trump: Protect America!
    Democrats: wtf we hate protecting America now.

    Trump: Increase economic growth!
    Democrats: wtf we hate economic growth now.

    Trump: Be a good person!
    Democrats: wtf we hate being good people now.
  40. #5740
    So he said nothing of any value?
  41. #5741
    Not a thing.
  42. #5742
    It was an unusual performance to be sure, and he certainly gave the impression of being reasonable. No ranting against the media, for example. No outlandish statements, no outright fabrications or hysterical pronouncements. Who was that guy?

    Whether all his opponents had the reaction wuf and his friends at r/thedonald would like to believe though seems unlikely. Most are probably just waiting to see whether he's really turned into a sensible person or it's all just an act.
  43. #5743
    He hit that stride in the RNC speech (perhaps before). Today, the situation is different since many more people are near the "acceptance" phase and are willing to give him a chance. To them, it looks like Trump is different now. I've seen this sort of presentation from Trump for quite a while.
  44. #5744
    I'm pretty sure you and I have different ideas of reasonable though. I can imagine a lot of his statements that to you appeared perfectly reasonable to me appeared unhinged owing to our different perspectives.

    The fact that we both agree the latest performance was reasonable is what is unusual here, imo.
  45. #5745
    Maybe he has deep respect for the SOTU
  46. #5746
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    Maybe he has deep respect for the SOTU
    I don't know what SOTU is.

    Maybe try not assuming everyone shares your idiom - just a suggestion for your future in mass persuasion.
  47. #5747
    CoccoBill's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    You're describing substitution of labor. Even though the gas pump substituted labor and some people lost jobs, in aggregate more jobs were created due to things like a more efficient allocation of resources. This is in a strictly economics sense. If you ask an economist, he'll tell you the substitution/aggregate thing. I asked one of my professors just the other day on something very similar. That was his response.
    http://www.economics.ox.ac.uk/Depart...ial-revolution

    Engel's Pause: In Britain with the industrial revolution while productivity skyrocketed, wages stagnated for 50 years and unemployment was rampant. AI and robotics may be great for the industries, that's of course why they're investing in them. Not so great for the employees.
    Our brains have just one scale, and we resize our experiences to fit.

  48. #5748
    Current British employment is below what it was then?

    The trade-off between capital and labor within firms and within markets is covered extensively in economics. That is, however, not the same topic as the play between labor and capital over the long term. Even as capital substitutes for labor over the short term or in specific markets, over the long term both are growing.
  49. #5749
    I'm a bit concerned about Trump's impending tax cut plan. I've always maintained that if you pass a large tax cut, 99% of the cut, should go entirely to the lower and middle classes of society, as these are the classes that will derive the most utility from a tax cut, and be the quickest to spend it and put it back into the economy. Also it should go to these classes of citizenry, if they've faced the most economic struggles overall, such as the American worker/Median American Household Income being entirely stagnant and having no increase in purchasing power over the past 30/40 years (As opposed to the wealthiest 0.1% of American Households which have had a tremendous increase in income and increase in purchasing power over the past 30-40 years).

    And if members of these classes DON'T pay any Federal Income tax, they should be provided a tax credit, sort of like the "Negative Income Tax" that Conservative Economist Milton Friedman envisioned as a means to reduce poverty in a society.

    I am worried that instead of that happening, most of Trump's tax cuts will go to the super wealthy, or corporations, and despite the lower classes maybe being afforded a few peanuts, the government will run up a large national debt for these tax cuts, and the ordinary citizen will see very few gains after the tax cuts have been passed.

    I don't mind reducing the costs of business, but when the country has large debt problems, like it does now, and it did in 1952, I argue that we should adopt a similar tax code as what was in place in 1952, that helped pay off the entire WWII debt. This is why, I don't mind lowering businesses taxes, so long as taxes from businesses still pay roughly 33% of the Federal Government's revenue like it did in 1952, as a means to pay off the WWII debt. The 1950's were not really bad economic times despite the higher taxes of the era.

    I decided put my idea into words regarding why tax cuts for the super wealthy, will never be a great driver of economic growth or improving American's standard of living as a whole.

    "Wealthy countries are measured by how much of the entire population is middle class, and have a relatively high standard of living as a whole. Not how wealthy the wealthiest 1 in 1000 citizens are.
    Yes there are two terms in Economics which shows the futility of tax cuts for the wealthy, that is still part of Conservative doctrine to this day on economics/tax policy.
    #1 The Law of Diminishing Marginal Utility
    Suppose we can give out a tax credit of $1,000, we can either give it to a very wealthy person who has $1,000,000,000 ($1 billion) in disposable income, or we can give it to an extremely poor homeless person, with $1 in disposable income.
    The wealthy person will garner virtually no utility from the tax credit or a tax cut, that enables him to have $1,000,000,000 in disposable income, vs $1,000,001,000 in disposable income.
    The homeless guy on the other hand, will get LOTS of utility if he goes from having $1 in disposable income, vs $1,001 in disposable income.
    #2 Velocity of the Dollar
    A dollar traveling across an economy, creates economic growth along every stop it takes.
    Lets suppose we give $1 to our homeless guy. Our homeless guy is a good example, because he spends 100% of take home pay. The rest of my examples are "low income" employees providing services, who get the $1, who also spend about 100% of their take home pay.
    He then spends it at a gas station on food. The business owner uses this $1 to pay his employees. The gas station clerk making minimum wage, when he gets that $1 in his paycheck, he then spends it at a movie theater. The movie theater attendant gets the $1 in his paycheck, he then goes and spends it on a haircut. The barber then uses the $1 to spend elsewhere.
    The point is, as far as economic activity is concerned, this dollar is traveling across the economy, at a very fast pace. It has a very high "velocity of the dollar".
    Now we take that same $1 out of the homeless guys hands, and instead give it to a man who takes in $1 billion a year in disposable income, and only spends a mere 10% per year of his take home pay on living expenses. This extremely wealthy man has a bank account in the Cayman Islands.
    That $1 is going to SIT in a bank account, for a very long time, before it ever gets put back into the economy. This represents a very low velocity of the dollar. Meanwhile, that $1 isn't used to finance food for the homeless guy, movies for the gas station clerk, or a haircut for the movie attendant, and the barber never sees the dollar.
    This is why enriching the super wealthy, will never create massive amounts of economic growth for an economy."
    Last edited by JimmyS1985; 03-02-2017 at 02:06 AM.
  50. #5750
    Your whole premise there presumes that the billionaire's dollar will "sit in the cayman islands". What if it doesn't?

    What if he puts it in an American bank? The bank will charge fees, and use it to pay their employees, who will then go by food, movies, and haircuts. Additionally, of Mr. Billionaire isn't using his money for a while, the bank may loan it out. Now the barber can borrow money to open a second barber shop, and hire more barbers. Those barbers will buy food, and movies too.

    The movie theater attendant can borrow money too. Now he can buy a car. That car allows him a more flexible work schedule and the ability to search for a job further away, in other words, more opportunities. That usually translates into more hours, and/or higher wages. So now he can afford to buy more food, and haircuts.

    Oh, and now he needs gas too!

    And that's if the billionaire does something totally pedestrian with his money, like put it in a savings account. What if he invests it in the stock market or a mutual fund? Then his dollar is capital for a business to operate and expand. His dollar helps run a company that creates many jobs for people who all need food, and movies, and haircuts.

    Taxes discourage wealth creation. That hurts everyone, but especially those at the bottom of the income scale.
  51. #5751
    Tax cuts for consumers are basically a wage increase. Tax cuts for producers are basically an investment increase. While it is important for consumers to have strong wages, more positive over the long term tends to be done when investment is strengthened. Increasing demand doesn't increase prosperity; increasing supply does. Increasing wages does have a positive effect on supply, but that comes as a response to its positive effect on demand. Increasing supply can be hit more directly and productively with focused tax cuts, which ultimately results in an even greater increase in wages than the alternate scenario.

    In addition, journalists are typically incorrect when they assess taxes. They tend to conflate legal incidence of tax and economic incidence of tax. I'm out of my wheelhouse on by this point so I can't go into detail. There are a lot of taxes that are said to benefit the rich disproportionately that actually don't.


    The Democrat tax cut strategy (in the rare occasion they want one) is not that economically sound. They erroneously think that more consumption equates to more prosperity. The Republicans tend to use a handful of legitimate economic ideas behind their tax cut rationales. One is to increase supply by reducing marginal rates. When targeted smartly, this can work well. Another is to increase savings and investment. Savings is future consumption; investment is basically future production. Tax cuts targeting savings result in more production and consumption than one targeted at current consumption.

    What specific policies that Trump has proposed do you not like?
  52. #5752
    CoccoBill's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    Tax cuts for consumers are basically a wage increase. Tax cuts for producers are basically an investment increase. While it is important for consumers to have strong wages, more positive over the long term tends to be done when investment is strengthened.
    Shouldn't those two go hand in hand though? My conception is that all measures taken in the past decades have been to help the producers, and they have indeed being doing exceptionally well, unlike the workers.

    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    Increasing demand doesn't increase prosperity; increasing supply does. Increasing wages does have a positive effect on supply, but that comes as a response to its positive effect on demand.
    Increasing supply without altering demand lowers prices right? Increasing demand would increase prices, therefore increasing profits.
    Our brains have just one scale, and we resize our experiences to fit.

  53. #5753
    Quote Originally Posted by CoccoBill View Post
    Shouldn't those two go hand in hand though?
    No, one comes first, the other comes second.

    Quote Originally Posted by CoccoBill View Post
    My conception is that all measures taken in the past decades have been to help the producers
    Nope, 8 years of Obama has left us waist deep in job-killing, wage-depressing, regulations.

    Quote Originally Posted by CoccoBill View Post
    , and they have indeed being doing exceptionally well, unlike the workers.
    I wouldn't say they've been doing well. American manufacturing is definitely on the down slope. Sequestration crippled the defense industry. I could go on. It's these problems that have led to more people leaving the workforce, which depresses wages.

    If the workers are hurting because of high unemployment, under employment, and low wages, it's not because producers are being greedy.
  54. #5754
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    Tax cuts for consumers are basically a wage increase. Tax cuts for producers are basically an investment increase. While it is important for consumers to have strong wages, more positive over the long term tends to be done when investment is strengthened. Increasing demand doesn't increase prosperity; increasing supply does. Increasing wages does have a positive effect on supply, but that comes as a response to its positive effect on demand. Increasing supply can be hit more directly and productively with focused tax cuts, which ultimately results in an even greater increase in wages than the alternate scenario.

    In addition, journalists are typically incorrect when they assess taxes. They tend to conflate legal incidence of tax and economic incidence of tax. I'm out of my wheelhouse on by this point so I can't go into detail. There are a lot of taxes that are said to benefit the rich disproportionately that actually don't.


    The Democrat tax cut strategy (in the rare occasion they want one) is not that economically sound. They erroneously think that more consumption equates to more prosperity. The Republicans tend to use a handful of legitimate economic ideas behind their tax cut rationales. One is to increase supply by reducing marginal rates. When targeted smartly, this can work well. Another is to increase savings and investment. Savings is future consumption; investment is basically future production. Tax cuts targeting savings result in more production and consumption than one targeted at current consumption.

    What specific policies that Trump has proposed do you not like?
    The producers have been doing exceptionally well. The workers have not. And I just don't see investing further in the wealthy, when the wealthy, are the wealthiest, or perhaps wealthier, than the Robber Barons of the 1890's, to 1920's.

    Trickle Down Economics only works, if the wealth does in fact trickle down. If the wealth consolidates, the whole economic theory fails.

    Wealthy countries, are not measured by how wealthy, their wealthiest 1 in 1000 citizens is. They're measured by how wealthy, and the high standard of living, their population as a whole is. Right now it appears our population is slowly but surely falling into poverty.

    And that's what's been happening over the past 40 years. Reagan came in, he said, if we give these huge tax cuts to the wealthy, they will in turn, use them to help the lower and middle class. If there was evidence of that happening, at minimum the wealth distribution would have stayed the same as it was in 1977, as it is today in 2017.

    To borrow a quote from a scholar's paper on wealth inequality in America:

    "Americans today live in a starkly unequal society. Inequality is greater now than it has been at any time in the last century, and the gaps in wages, income, and wealth are wider here than they are in any other democratic and developed economy."

    http://scalar.usc.edu/works/growing-...equality/index


    Also purely from a budgetary standpoint, tax cuts for the wealthy, have wreaked havoc on our nations fiscal situation. In 1945, the debt to GDP ratio, was around 120% or so GDP. By 1981, the debt to GDP was 32% or so. We basically paid off the entire WWII debt.

    Today, the debt, again is around over 100% of GDP. What happened? We use to balance the budget almost annually between 1945-1981. Now we annually run up a debt. We have only balanced the budget 4 times in the last 36 years (1997-2000).

    I've always said, that tax cuts should never be financed with borrowed money from China and Japan. Because if you have to borrow the money to pay for the tax cut, at face value, it appears you're weakening the United States, and strengthening China and Japan.

    Unfortunately I can rarely get a supply sider to agree with me on that statement, they firmly believe in tax cuts, even if you have to borrow money for the next 32 out 36 years (1981-2017) to finance the tax cuts. It just seems like when it comes to balancing the budget, and paying down the debt, the supply-sider always, eternally, puts that on the back burner of his priorities.
    Last edited by JimmyS1985; 03-02-2017 at 01:41 PM.
  55. #5755
    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    The producers have been doing exceptionally well.
    Totally disagree. http://www.tradingeconomics.com/unit...tes/gdp-growth

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    The workers have not.
    Agreed. But they've been doing poorly because the producers are doing poorly. Fewer jobs, lower wages, and more under-employment are the results of a lack of capital investment.

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    Trickle Down Economics only works, if the wealth does in fact trickle down. If the wealth consolidates, the whole economic theory fails.
    So why do you support measures that would cause wealth to consolidate....like raising taxes?

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    Wealthy countries, are not measured by how wealthy, their wealthiest 1 in 1000 citizens is. They're measured by how wealthy, and the high standard of living, their population as a whole is.
    Who told you that? Europe? Sounds like something they would say.

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    Right now it appears our population is slowly but surely falling into poverty.
    Agreed. Why do you think that is? What's causing millions of people to leave the workforce and sign up for entitlement programs?

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    And that's what's been happening over the past 40 years. Reagan came in, he said, if we give these huge tax cuts to the wealthy, they will in turn, use them to help the lower and middle class.
    That's exactly what happened!! Unemployment was over 10% when Reagan came in. When he left, it was under 5%. Take a look at the GDP growth chart I linked earlier. How'd those tax cuts work out?

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    Inequality is greater now than it has been at any time in the last century, and the gaps in wages, income, and wealth are wider here than they are in any other democratic and developed economy.".
    Thats NOT a bad thing. Income inequality is fine, a good thing even, as long as you have income mobility. Those other "developed economies" that the paper refers to have low income mobility. We discussed this earlier when we were talking about Finland. Finland has much better income equality, but low income mobility. If you're bright and motivated, you prefer mobility to equality. If you're lazy and selfish, you prefer equality to mobility.

    http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2014/...nequality.html

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    Today, the debt, again is around over 100% of GDP. What happened?
    There were a couple more wars.

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    We have only balanced the budget 4 times in the last 36 years (1997-2000).
    I give Reagan full credit for that. Economies don't turn on a dime. It was Ronnie's policies that fueled the "clinton boom years"

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    I've always said, that tax cuts should never be financed with borrowed money from China and Japan. Because if you have to borrow the money to pay for the tax cut, at face value, it appears you're weakening the United States, and strengthening China and Japan.
    Disagree. Money is loaned for expansion and growth all the time, all over the world, in gov't and business. It has nothing to do with relative strength. If China is loaning us money, it's because they expect to be paid back. If they expect to be paid back, it's because they believe they are investing in a strong economy. If they don't think our economy is strong, and are loaning us money anyway, then that weakens China, not us.
    Last edited by BananaStand; 03-02-2017 at 02:32 PM.
  56. #5756
    Quote Originally Posted by CoccoBill View Post
    Shouldn't those two go hand in hand though? My conception is that all measures taken in the past decades have been to help the producers, and they have indeed being doing exceptionally well, unlike the workers.
    You could say that, because one typically affects the other. I'll explain more below.

    We have to be careful with statistics because one can pretty much make whatever case they want depending on selected variables. As far as I can tell, the statistics youre alluding to don't appear to be capturing the effect of policy, but instead are capturing a trend with little explanation. To evaluate policy more accurately, we need to do things like compare similar labor markets with recent divergences in relevant policies. Two that Scott Sumner has discussed are that even though the modern western trend is one of increasing productivity gains going to producers than laborers, where supply side reforms were adopted have done better than where they were not. I couldn't find his work on this again as it's buried in his blog (it was Reaganomics related and I posted it here like 3 years ago). Another one is comparing Germany to France (or the rest of Europe) in the 90s. Germany underwent significant supply side reforms and went from the "sick man" of Europe with high natural unemployment to the model for other countries to follow, with very low natural employment. Meanwhile France adopted more reforms that push up demand without pushing up supply, and it went from low unemployment to high. Sumner briefly covered it a day or so ago here http://econlog.econlib.org/archives/...veloped_w.html

    Increasing supply without altering demand lowers prices right? Increasing demand would increase prices, therefore increasing profits.
    Yes to both. The increase in demand can lead to an increase in supply as well due to those increased profits. This incentivizes expansion of existing firms in the market and entry of new firms, which begins pushing profits down again until the incentive for expansion and entry is gone, leaving a larger market overall, with greater production and consumption.

    An issue is that when there are restrictions on increasing supply, this increase in demand can result in greater consumption and greater profits, but not greater expansion of supply and the subsequent re-dropping of prices. We saw this with Obamacare. The law added a lot of demand to the system without much supply, resulting in higher prices and greater profits for entities with enough incumbent advantage.

    The supply and demand model I'm referencing can show us why increasing supply in a market is better than increasing demand. An increase in demand will increase output and price, while an equivalent increase in supply will equally increase output while reducing price. This leaves consumers wealthier at the higher consumption level, allowing them to consume more or save/invest more. We can see how supply side reforms benefit consumers here. If we raise demand instead (by doing something like increasing wages), consumers have a higher level of consumed output without the additional higher consumption/savings/investment, while producers have higher profits. A supply increase resulting from this should be expected, but if the demand increase is financed by government deficit expenditures or if there are supply restrictions in the market, the supply increase won't come or will be small.

    Ultimately, government boosting demand doesn't yield as good of results as government boosting supply, probably because reducing taxes to increase supply tends to result in greater growth and thus offsets the expected higher future taxes.

    If you have questions, please ask. My post is not the most succinct and may be confusing.
  57. #5757
    One thing to keep in mind is something I think is best thought of as "digital deflation." The "effective wealth" of the middle class and poor have been increasing at a far swifter pace than that of the rich, though it is increasing rapidly for everybody. This is in things like invention of refrigerators or the internet. Back before refrigeration, the gap between rich and poor regarding access to food was much bigger than after refrigeration, for example. Inventions and innovations are created by entrepreneurship, which tend to result from supply reforms. If we take food for example, wanting to eat it doesn't put it on the table; gotta produce it in order to eat it. Economic statistics don't account for this stuff well at all. It's almost impossible to do.
  58. #5758
    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    Totally disagree. http://www.tradingeconomics.com/unit...tes/gdp-growth


    Agreed. But they've been doing poorly because the producers are doing poorly. Fewer jobs, lower wages, and more under-employment are the results of a lack of capital investment.


    So why do you support measures that would cause wealth to consolidate....like raising taxes?


    Who told you that? Europe? Sounds like something they would say.


    Agreed. Why do you think that is? What's causing millions of people to leave the workforce and sign up for entitlement programs?


    That's exactly what happened!! Unemployment was over 10% when Reagan came in. When he left, it was under 5%. Take a look at the GDP growth chart I linked earlier. How'd those tax cuts work out?


    Thats NOT a bad thing. Income inequality is fine, a good thing even, as long as you have income mobility. Those other "developed economies" that the paper refers to have low income mobility. We discussed this earlier when we were talking about Finland. Finland has much better income equality, but low income mobility. If you're bright and motivated, you prefer mobility to equality. If you're lazy and selfish, you prefer equality to mobility.

    http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2014/...nequality.html


    There were a couple more wars.


    I give Reagan full credit for that. Economies don't turn on a dime. It was Ronnie's policies that fueled the "clinton boom years"


    Disagree. Money is loaned for expansion and growth all the time, all over the world, in gov't and business. It has nothing to do with relative strength. If China is loaning us money, it's because they expect to be paid back. If they expect to be paid back, it's because they believe they are investing in a strong economy. If they don't think our economy is strong, and are loaning us money anyway, then that weakens China, not us.
    I don't know how to Multi-Quote, I'd like to learn how.

    #1 Producers are doing fine. Stock market is near all time high. Our wealthy haven't been this wealthy since the 1920's. Despite their drastic increase in wealth and income over the past 4 decades, there has been no correlated increase in wealth and income for the US worker. The idea has always been, when the wealthy get wealthier, everyone else is suppose to get wealthier. Instead it appears, that when the wealthy get wealthier, everyone gets poorer. This represents a fatal flaw in how Trickle Down economics has been implemented, it was never called "Consolidation Economics" it was always called "Trickle Down Economics". If the wealth never trickles down, then the whole economic theory is either a failure, or a lie.

    At the same time our workers are hurting. 51% of US Workers, make $30,000 or less per year. 38% of US workers make $20,000 or less per year. This means over half of the US work force, is at, near, or below the poverty level. Not to mention we've had 4 decades, roughly, of stagnant wages for US workers.

    http://www.washingtonsblog.com/2015/...rs-a-year.html

    "You can find the report that the Social Security Administration just released right here. The following are some of the numbers that really stood out for me…

    -38 percent of all American workers made less than $20,000 last year.

    -51 percent of all American workers made less than $30,000 last year."

    #2 Standard of living for the population as a whole, is often a way to measure how well off a country's population is. Afghanistan, has members of it's population with $multiple millions of dollars. It's still by and large considered an extremely poor country. I remember the Afghanistan Vice President being caught in an airport because he had $57 million in American money on him. Obviously money from US tax payers due to our war, and his government's corruption. Nothing we could do about it, he was Vice President of Afghanistan. His country is still considered extremely poor, even with a Vice President with $57 million in wealth in their midst.

    http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank...d-for-decades/

    #3 I argue that people are leaving the work force, because of 40 years of stagnant wages, and increased childcare costs. Stagnant wages are so bad, what's the point of working if you're still poverty stricken at the end of the day? Purchasing power of the US Median Household, has been roughly the same for the past 30 years. Trickle Economics dictates, that when the wealthy get "super wealthy" their wealth is supposed to improve the lives of the US Median Household. It hasn't worked though, their purchasing power today, is the same as 1987.

    http://voxeu.org/article/long-term-d...ies-address-it

    "This labour demand shock would result in firms paying lower wages to their workers, some of whom are unwilling to work at these wages and drop out of the labour force. CEA analysis finds that state-level labour force participation rates for prime-age men are associated with the absolute and relative levels of wages."

    "What happened? Research by economists Francine Blau and Lawrence Kahn at Cornell University finds that the United States’ lack of family friendly policies to support women in their prime childbearing and career years explains one-third of the decrease in women’s labor force participation. The U.S. political landscape contrasts with many European countries, which have enacted and expanded policies such as paid parental leave, childcare subsidies, and part-time work entitlements to encourage women’s employment."

    Our country is economically unfriendly to the financial situation of expecting mothers. We do not provide them with paid maternal leave. Often times it is in the woman's best interest to not work at all, and cover her own childcare herself, than work and still not have enough money for childcare, or have very little money left over.

    #4 Reagan, #'s of $'s wise, increased the national debt by 200% to do as well as he did. In 1981, the national debt was $900 billion. In 1989, it was $2.8 trillion. That would appear advocate for borrowing massive amounts of money, in order to jump start the economy. In some ways you could argue, he was a Keynesian in that sense. Unfortunately his political party, ever since he's left, has eternally put balancing the budget on the nation's back burner of priorities. We have had a very bad track record of balancing the budget between 1981-2017 (We've only balanced the budget 4x in the last 36 years) vs the nearly annual paying down of the debt between 1945-1981. Not to mention, Supply-Side Economics weren't even implemented between 1945-1981, and we had some of our greatest economic years in this country's history during that time period, vs the 1981-2017 years.

    #5 SOME Income inequality is fine. Too much, is bad. If you want to be Middle Class and have a decent standard of living, you look to nations that have strong middle classes, not Plutocracy's like El Salvador.

    "The picture that emerged was startling to those who still clung to the notion of America as a middle-class society, or who thought of rising inequality as mainly a tale of divergence between blue-collar workers and a fairly broad elite, like college-educated workers. Mr. Piketty and Mr. Saez showed that the actual story of rising inequality since 1980 or so was dominated not by the modestly rising salaries of skilled workers but by gigantic gains at the very top — a doubling of inflation-adjusted income for the top 1 percent, a quadrupling for the top 0.1 percent, and so on. They also showed that these surging top incomes had more or less reversed earlier movements toward equality, that the concentration of income in the hands of a small minority was back to “Great Gatsby” levels."

    To support the status quo, or even a more extreme version of the status quo such as Trump's tax cuts for the wealthy very well could exacerbate, is to be fundamentally and morally opposed to the idea that America should have a middle class at all. It would be in support of having a super 0.1% wealthy elite, and a continually more poverty stricken, bottom 90% of Americans or so, or to put that in numbers, 320,000 Americans will get continually wealthier, while 288,000,000 Americans continually get poorer and poorer.

    #6 If you support Economic Mobility, instead of Equality, America is not the country look to, most of Western Europe is.

    http://www.politifact.com/punditfact...-dream-europe/

    "The United States is "behind many countries in Europe in terms of the ability of every kid in America to get ahead."

    "Families at all earning levels were growing together after World War II but have been growing apart since in the decades since, Krueger wrote. The country’s top earners have pulled a lot further ahead than the middle and lower class, he said, and the trend line suggests the future earnings of today’s children will be tied more and more to the income level of their parents.

    "Not since the Roaring 20s has the share of income going to the very top reached such high levels," Krueger said, according to prepared remarks.

    Krueger compared income inequality of 10 developed countries with the correlation between a parent’s income and their children’s (it’s more complicated than we described, check out the details in Krueger’s presentation or this Bloomberg infographic). The "Gatsby Curve" showed economic possibilities for children in European countries such as Finland, Norway, Denmark, Sweden, Germany and France were much less connected to their parents’ income than in the United States and United Kingdom."

    #7 "Disagree. Money is loaned for expansion and growth all the time, all over the world, in gov't and business. It has nothing to do with relative strength. If China is loaning us money, it's because they expect to be paid back. If they expect to be paid back, it's because they believe they are investing in a strong economy. If they don't think our economy is strong, and are loaning us money anyway, then that weakens China, not us."

    And this is what I'm worried about with Trump's tax cuts. We've already gone from a Triple AAA credit rating, to Double AA. Trump has implied in the past that he's willing to default on the US Government's national debt. We've also had the Republican Congress threaten Obama in budgetary showdowns with defaults on the national debt as well. If Trump passes massive tax cuts, and if the Bond market gets the opinion, that the US Treasury no longer has any intention of honoring it's debt, the bond market's will freak out, and I can't imagine that can be good for the US Economy.

    We saw this play out in Kansas over the past 6 years. They passed huge tax cuts, on the business owners, but have consistently ran up large debts every year since.

    http://www.kansas.com/news/politics-...e91961917.html

    "A major rating agency on Tuesday downgraded Kansas’ credit rating for the second time in two years because of the state’s budget problems.

    S&P Global Ratings dropped its rating for Kansas to AA-, from AA, three months after putting the state on a negative credit watch. S&P also dropped the state’s credit rating in August 2014.

    Read more here: http://www.kansas.com/news/politics-government/article91961917.html#storylink=cpy"

    And the same economics, which has lead to the S&P downgrading Kansas's credit rating 2 times in 2 years, is the same economic plan that Trump has for the United States. And I don't think I'm out of line to be very concerned about this.
    Last edited by JimmyS1985; 03-02-2017 at 03:54 PM.
  59. #5759
    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    The producers have been doing exceptionally well. The workers have not. And I just don't see investing further in the wealthy, when the wealthy, are the wealthiest, or perhaps wealthier, than the Robber Barons of the 1890's, to 1920's.

    Trickle Down Economics only works, if the wealth does in fact trickle down. If the wealth consolidates, the whole economic theory fails.

    Wealthy countries, are not measured by how wealthy, their wealthiest 1 in 1000 citizens is. They're measured by how wealthy, and the high standard of living, their population as a whole is. Right now it appears our population is slowly but surely falling into poverty.

    And that's what's been happening over the past 40 years. Reagan came in, he said, if we give these huge tax cuts to the wealthy, they will in turn, use them to help the lower and middle class. If there was evidence of that happening, at minimum the wealth distribution would have stayed the same as it was in 1977, as it is today in 2017.

    To borrow a quote from a scholar's paper on wealth inequality in America:

    "Americans today live in a starkly unequal society. Inequality is greater now than it has been at any time in the last century, and the gaps in wages, income, and wealth are wider here than they are in any other democratic and developed economy."

    http://scalar.usc.edu/works/growing-...equality/index


    Also purely from a budgetary standpoint, tax cuts for the wealthy, have wreaked havoc on our nations fiscal situation. In 1945, the debt to GDP ratio, was around 120% or so GDP. By 1981, the debt to GDP was 32% or so. We basically paid off the entire WWII debt.

    Today, the debt, again is around over 100% of GDP. What happened? We use to balance the budget almost annually between 1945-1981. Now we annually run up a debt. We have only balanced the budget 4 times in the last 36 years (1997-2000).

    I've always said, that tax cuts should never be financed with borrowed money from China and Japan. Because if you have to borrow the money to pay for the tax cut, at face value, it appears you're weakening the United States, and strengthening China and Japan.

    Unfortunately I can rarely get a supply sider to agree with me on that statement, they firmly believe in tax cuts, even if you have to borrow money for the next 32 out 36 years (1981-2017) to finance the tax cuts. It just seems like when it comes to balancing the budget, and paying down the debt, the supply-sider always, eternally, puts that on the back burner of his priorities.
    I addressed a lot of this in my response to Bill. Other things:

    Income inequality is a meaningless statistic. It tells us pretty much nothing and is misleading. Example: triple all real incomes and you've eradicated poverty while increasing inequality. Or invent something great that increases prosperity for millions and you've increased inequality. Create something that makes one person a billion dollars wealthier and a million people a thousand dollars wealthier, and you've increased inequality.

    Tax cuts in higher brackets are tiny relative to the deficit and debt compared to equivalent cuts in lower brackets. The majority of investment capital exists in high incomes and the majority of human capital and labor exist in low incomes. Dollar for dollar, tax cuts to high incomes should have a bigger positive effect on the economy, while cutting restrictions should have a greater positive effect on low incomes.

    That said, tax cuts for the wealthy aren't fair. Taxes should be flat. That would make them the most fair. There are a bunch of other benefits that come from that too.
  60. #5760
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    I addressed a lot of this in my response to Bill. Other things:

    Income inequality is a meaningless statistic. It tells us pretty much nothing and is misleading. Example: triple all real incomes and you've eradicated poverty while increasing inequality. Or invent something great that increases prosperity for millions and you've increased inequality. Create something that makes one person a billion dollars wealthier and a million people a thousand dollars wealthier, and you've increased inequality.

    Tax cuts in higher brackets are tiny relative to the deficit and debt compared to equivalent cuts in lower brackets. The majority of investment capital exists in high incomes and the majority of human capital and labor exist in low incomes. Dollar for dollar, tax cuts to high incomes should have a bigger positive effect on the economy, while cutting restrictions should have a greater positive effect on low incomes.

    That said, tax cuts for the wealthy aren't fair. Taxes should be flat. That would make them the most fair. There are a bunch of other benefits that come from that too.

    Flat taxes are fair in a country with a relatively even distribution of wealth and income. We don't live in that kind of country. In a country with an extremely lopsided distribution of wealth and income, like our country, flat taxes are essentially arguing in favor of lower taxes on the super wealthy, paid for by higher taxes on the poor.

    Lets suppose you've got 2 people, one guy pulls in $20,000 a year, and spends 100% of yearly take income (these are also known as workers who live from paycheck to paycheck). The man's income is so low, he pays no federal income tax. Now a Flat tax implemented. Now he has to pay $2,000 a year in taxes, and has thusly taken a 10% loss in income for his yearly expenses. This will drastically hurt him in his economic situation, that is already limited, and significantly lower his standard of living.

    Now we take a guy who makes $2,000,000 a year. He spends 10% per year on his living expenses. He consistently has money left over, that is not used on living expenses. If he pays a 10% tax, he still has $1,800,000 left over, and he only uses $200,000 on living expenses. He will face no reduction in his standard of living under the same tax.

    So the one who takes it in the shorts under a flat tax, is the poor, and lower classes, and the middle class. The ones who get a huge tax cut under a flat tax, would be the very wealthy.

    This would further exacerbate the income/wealth inequality between the rich and the poor. It kind of reminds me of the economic conditions that lead to the French Revolution in 1780's/1790's France.
  61. #5761
    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    Flat taxes are fair in a country with a relatively even distribution of wealth and income. We don't live in that kind of country. In a country with an extremely lopsided distribution of wealth and income, like our country, flat taxes are essentially arguing in favor of lower taxes on the super wealthy, paid for by higher taxes on the poor.

    Lets suppose you've got 2 people, one guy pulls in $20,000 a year, and spends 100% of yearly take income (these are also known as workers who live from paycheck to paycheck). The man's income is so low, he pays no federal income tax. Now a Flat tax implemented. Now he has to pay $2,000 a year in taxes, and has thusly taken a 10% loss in income for his yearly expenses. This will drastically hurt him in his economic situation, that is already limited, and significantly lower his standard of living.

    Now we take a guy who makes $2,000,000 a year. He spends 10% per year on his living expenses. He consistently has money left over, that is not used on living expenses. If he pays a 10% tax, he still has $1,800,000 left over, and he only uses $200,000 on living expenses. He will face no reduction in his standard of living under the same tax.

    So the one who takes it in the shorts under a flat tax, is the poor, and lower classes, and the middle class. The ones who get a huge tax cut under a flat tax, would be the very wealthy.

    This would further exacerbate the income/wealth inequality between the rich and the poor. It kind of reminds me of the economic conditions that lead to the French Revolution in 1780's/1790's France.
    The poor are already taking it in the shorts by the poverty traps created by labor restrictions, welfare, and progressive taxation.

    Economics is often backwards. What often looks like something that helps somebody is an incentive for that person to behave in such a reduced in productivity way that he is worse off than if he didn't get that "help" in the first place.
  62. #5762
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    The poor are already taking it in the shorts by the poverty traps created by labor restrictions, welfare, and progressive taxation.

    Economics is often backwards. What often looks like something that helps somebody is an incentive for that person to behave in such a reduced in productivity way that he is worse off than if he didn't get that "help" in the first place.
    Stagnant wages for multiple decades, is what's causing the country to fall behind. In the ultimate end, you're still arguing that the Median Household's purchasing power should remain unchanged, are you not? You're clearly not arguing that their purchasing power should be increased, and your flat proposal, if it applies to poor people, would clearly decrease their purchasing power significantly.


    Between 1945-1981, when there was a rise in GDP per Capita, the gains got distributed among the populace as a whole. Between 1981-2017, when there was a rise in GDP per Capita, the gains got distributed to the super wealthy, particularly the wealthiest 0.1% of Americans.

    And in essence you're arguing for the system of 1981-2017 to remain in place, over that of 1945-1981.
  63. #5763
    Honestly man, if you're just gonna quote huge chunks from obscure articles you find online, we aren't going to have much of a discussion. I could do the very same thing, post my own equally compelling, but opposite, wall of text. All that does is kill the thread

    I'd rather debate a real person, not debate selected excerpts that you found on the web. I'll try to briefly respond to your points

    1) Consolidation occurs when there is uncertainty. That means investors are more averse to risk. Hence, less investment. The things that cause uncertainty are heavy-handed tax policies, minimum wage requirements, and excessive government regulations.

    2) I don't understand your point here. This whole paragraph just seems like a rant against the Afghan war peppered with some conspiracy theories about how the US gave the Afghan VP all that money for 'permission' to start a war over there. Poor households in America have far more luxuries and government safety nets available to them than a poor household in Afghanistan. Poor households in America have multiple TV's, X-box, and junk food. If 'quality of life' is a measure you care about....America is doing fucking awesome!

    3) Why should purchasing power increase? If prices move with income, then everybody stays where they are relative to one another. That's what's supposed to happen. If you get a 3% raise at your job in one year, and in that same year inflation raises prices by 3%, you've gained no purchasing power. Now I'm asking, why should you have? Just showing up for a job doesn't entitle you to shit.

    If you want more purchasing power, get a promotion, or a better job, or work more hours and increase your income over and above the rate of inflation.

    4) If you add up all the debt incurred by the first 43 presidents, it's still less than the debt racked up by Barry O. And this was while he was doing exactly what you're calling for...raising taxes on the rich, and cutting them for the poor

    http://www.politifact.com/virginia/s...raising-taxes/

    If that's such an effective policy.....why are workers doing so poorly after 8 years of this?

    5) There's no such thing as "too much" income inequality unless you don't have income mobility. The rich don't get rich at the expense of the poor. That's a lie.

    6)
    If you support Economic Mobility, instead of Equality, America is not the country look to, most of Western Europe is.
    False. I'm not sure why you're quoting that article. Particularly, this part....
    the trend line suggests the future earnings of today’s children will be tied more and more to the income level of their parents.
    That's the OPPOSITE of income mobility.

    7) You're talking about "maybe the bond markets will freak out". Check the ticker, all the markets are doing just fine, and are pretty happy with the outlook.
  64. #5764
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    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    Our brains have just one scale, and we resize our experiences to fit.

  65. #5765
    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    Stagnant wages for multiple decades, is what's causing the country to fall behind. In the ultimate end, you're still arguing that the Median Household's purchasing power should remain unchanged, are you not?
    I've argued that it should be increased and that it is increased by more by reforms that finance more investment and promote more labor than ones that don't as much.

    Between 1945-1981, when there was a rise in GDP per Capita, the gains got distributed among the populace as a whole. Between 1981-2017, when there was a rise in GDP per Capita, the gains got distributed to the super wealthy, particularly the wealthiest 0.1% of Americans.
    Why do you think this one statistic that is about as broad as possible tells enough of the story? The proposed regression would likely tell even less of the story than the examples we used in my econometrics textbook to show regressions that don't tell much of the story they're trying to tell.
  66. #5766
    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    1) Consolidation occurs when there is uncertainty. That means investors are more averse to risk. Hence, less investment. The things that cause uncertainty are heavy-handed tax policies, minimum wage requirements, and excessive government regulations.

    2) I don't understand your point here. This whole paragraph just seems like a rant against the Afghan war peppered with some conspiracy theories about how the US gave the Afghan VP all that money for 'permission' to start a war over there. Poor households in America have far more luxuries and government safety nets available to them than a poor household in Afghanistan. Poor households in America have multiple TV's, X-box, and junk food. If 'quality of life' is a measure you care about....America is doing fucking awesome!

    3) Why should purchasing power increase? If prices move with income, then everybody stays where they are relative to one another. That's what's supposed to happen. If you get a 3% raise at your job in one year, and in that same year inflation raises prices by 3%, you've gained no purchasing power. Now I'm asking, why should you have? Just showing up for a job doesn't entitle you to shit.

    If you want more purchasing power, get a promotion, or a better job, or work more hours and increase your income over and above the rate of inflation.

    4) If you add up all the debt incurred by the first 43 presidents, it's still less than the debt racked up by Barry O. And this was while he was doing exactly what you're calling for...raising taxes on the rich, and cutting them for the poor

    http://www.politifact.com/virginia/s...raising-taxes/

    If that's such an effective policy.....why are workers doing so poorly after 8 years of this?

    5) There's no such thing as "too much" income inequality unless you don't have income mobility. The rich don't get rich at the expense of the poor. That's a lie.

    6)
    False. I'm not sure why you're quoting that article. Particularly, this part....

    That's the OPPOSITE of income mobility.

    7) You're talking about "maybe the bond markets will freak out". Check the ticker, all the markets are doing just fine, and are pretty happy with the outlook.
    #1 Trickle Down Economics, as described by Reagan, was always about the wealth trickling down. So if you're arguing in favor of consolidation, then you would agree that Trickle Down Economics was a lie, it was never meant to trickle down.

    I've always argued that trickle down economics COULD work, if you had some kind of way of ENFORCING that the wealth trickles down. If you don't use your tax cut to create several middle class jobs, then you shouldn't be granted the tax cut in the first place. And not all 100+ millionaires and billionaires are owners of companies that employ people.

    #2 was probably my worst worded paragraph. My point was you can have super wealthy people, a super wealthy 2% of a country, and your country is still labeled very poor.

    A better example would be El Salvador. I'm a big fan of Arch Bishop Oscar Romero, and I read about the conditions, leading up to the extremely violent, and brutal, even by WWII War Crimes standards, El Salvadoran Civil War.

    "El Salvador is the smallest country in Central America after Belize. As in many nations of Latin America, the history of El Salvador has been characterized by marked socioeconomic inequality.[8] In the late 19th century, coffee became a major cash crop for El Salvador, bringing in approximately 95% of the country's income. However, this income was restricted to only 2% of the population, sharply dividing the people between a small powerful elite and an impoverished majority."

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Salvadoran_Civil_War

    El Salvador, compared to say, Germany, is considered a very poor country. Make no mistake, even though that super wealthy 2% of El Salvadoran's existed, the average El Salvadoran was still very poverty stricken by most country's standards. It was considered very poor in 1979. The idea that 95% of a nations income was only to be relegated to 2% of the population, and the the bottom 98% would divvy up the rest, lead to a very unequal society, and eventually culminated in a very violent Civil War.

    #3 Purchasing power increasing, over remaining stagnant would be good for Americans as a whole. We've tried 4 decades of stagnant wages for Americans, and Americans are upset. They don't like the current system. What did Trump get elected on? Bringing back good paying jobs to ordinary American's, not super wealthy people. America wants better paying work, not more stagnant wages, this was seen both in the supporters of the Trump campaign, and the supporters of the Sanders campaign.

    #4 #'s of dollars wise yes, not % of GDP though. But that can be argued for lots of Presidents. Clinton inherited a debt of $4.2 trillion. When he left, the debt was $5.7 trillion. He still gets credited with lowering the debt during his tenure, because although debt increased #'s of dollars wise, the debt % of GDP wise still went down, which is a far more accurate way of measuring debt. % of GDP wise , we have not seen a "spending program" with borrowed money on the same scale as WWII in the post-WWII era. Obama didn't implement any massive spending program like WWII, he adopted neoliberal tax cuts from his predecessor. Bush II was very skilled at inheriting 4 years of balanced budgets, and promptly turning them into 8 years of deficits. Obama just did more of the same, but to be fair to Obama, the 2009 Budget, had a $1.6 trillion deficit, which was signed off by GWB and was the highest deficit #'s of all time, While Obama has significantly decreased our deficit #'s from 2009 to today.

    #6 the article describing a child's income mostly associated to their parents, as you described the OPPOSITE of economic mobility, was actually the article's description of the United States, vs European countries. Our economic mobility is vastly inferior to that of Western Europe.

    #7 Trump's tax plan hasn't been implemented. He has only been in office for 5 weeks. But if he implements his tax plan, and we go from an annual deficit of $552 billion, back to well in the $trillions, that's going to communicate a message to the bond market.

    Luckily he hasn't done anything with the tax code so far. But the best government as an example of this happening, would be Kansas, who implemented very large tax cuts in Sam Brownback's first year, and has since had 2 credit downgrades in 2014 and 2016 and has yet to come close to balancing a single budget.

    Also Louisiana which gutted their tax revenue under Bobby Jindal, has also faced similar credit downgrades after he implemented Supply-side Economics in his state.

    http://www.seattletimes.com/business...in-california/

    On the upside California which has implemented higher taxes on their wealthy, while still having a substandard credit rating, recently got their credit rating increased as recently as 2015.

    I think I'm well within my right to believe, that tax cuts for very wealthy people and massive amounts of borrowing money to finance those tax cuts, can, and should be associated with credit downgrades for the states implementing them.
    Last edited by JimmyS1985; 03-02-2017 at 05:11 PM.
  67. #5767
    Are the NYT and WaPo lying?

  68. #5768


  69. #5769
    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    So if you're arguing in favor of consolidation, then you would agree that Trickle Down Economics was a lie..
    I'm not....and I don't.

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    #2 was probably my worst worded paragraph.
    No, you're second attempt at it was your worst worded paragraph. Still not seeing your point. There was a revolt in El Salvador. Nice story.

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    #3 Purchasing power increasing, over remaining stagnant would be good for Americans as a whole. We've tried 4 decades of stagnant wages for Americans
    Are you talking about purchasing power, or wages. Suppose a lawyer's salary earns him 3x the purchasing power of a truck driver. Why should that ever change? It would only change if the market demanded that truck driving require 8 years of higher education.

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    #4 #'s of dollars wise yes, not % of GDP though.
    I don't see how that's possible. What numbers are you using? GDP growth is in the toilet, and Barry borrowed more than anyone ever.

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    Our economic mobility is vastly inferior to that of Western Europe.
    False. If you have numbers that can prove that, I suspect it's a symptom of having less income inequality. In other words, if the gap between rich and poor is really small, it's easier to move from one end of the scale to the other. In america, 2/3 of the bottom fifth of earners, move out of that quintile within a generation. And people at the top move down too, including 8 percent who fall from the top quintile all the way to the bottom.

    Congressional Budget Office reports that over the last 30 years, rich people's incomes grew 200 percent while poor people's income rose 50%. It's the growth that matters, not the disparity. Securities/Investments grow faster than wages. And that's ok. It's not hurting anybody. The rich are not getting rich at the expense of the poor.

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    if he implements his tax plan, and we go from an annual deficit of $552 billion, back to well in the $trillions, that's going to communicate a message to the bond market.
    C'mon man, bond traders can read the paper. They know what's coming. The market hasn't tanked. Quite the opposite actually.

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    I think I'm well within my right to believe, that tax cuts for very wealthy people and massive amounts of borrowing money to finance those tax cuts, can, and should be associated with credit downgrades for the states implementing them.
    You're well within your right to believe anything you want. That doesn't make it true though. I think you're being fairly glib with your assessment of why and how credit ratings get adusted. If a business borrows money to finance expansion that will turn into increased cash flow, hence paying off the debt....should their credit be downgraded? I would say no.

    On the other hand, what if the business borrowed money in order to give everyone raises, except for the executives. All the rank and file got a boost in their income. But there was no return for the business. Productivity didn't go up. Profits didn't increase (they decrease because expenses went up). And the business has no mechanism to pay back the debt....should their credit rating change? I would say yes.

    The former example is akin to cutting taxes for producers, encouraging them to produce more, create more jobs, and grow the economy. The latter example is akin to Obama's stimulus packages and tax cuts which actually resulted in millions of people leaving the workforce, wages remaining stale, and GDP circling the toilet.
  70. #5770
    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    I'm not....and I don't.


    No, you're second attempt at it was your worst worded paragraph. Still not seeing your point. There was a revolt in El Salvador. Nice story.


    Are you talking about purchasing power, or wages. Suppose a lawyer's salary earns him 3x the purchasing power of a truck driver. Why should that ever change? It would only change if the market demanded that truck driving require 8 years of higher education.


    I don't see how that's possible. What numbers are you using? GDP growth is in the toilet, and Barry borrowed more than anyone ever.


    False. If you have numbers that can prove that, I suspect it's a symptom of having less income inequality. In other words, if the gap between rich and poor is really small, it's easier to move from one end of the scale to the other. In america, 2/3 of the bottom fifth of earners, move out of that quintile within a generation. And people at the top move down too, including 8 percent who fall from the top quintile all the way to the bottom.

    Congressional Budget Office reports that over the last 30 years, rich people's incomes grew 200 percent while poor people's income rose 50%. It's the growth that matters, not the disparity. Securities/Investments grow faster than wages. And that's ok. It's not hurting anybody. The rich are not getting rich at the expense of the poor.


    C'mon man, bond traders can read the paper. They know what's coming. The market hasn't tanked. Quite the opposite actually.


    You're well within your right to believe anything you want. That doesn't make it true though. I think you're being fairly glib with your assessment of why and how credit ratings get adusted. If a business borrows money to finance expansion that will turn into increased cash flow, hence paying off the debt....should their credit be downgraded? I would say no.

    On the other hand, what if the business borrowed money in order to give everyone raises, except for the executives. All the rank and file got a boost in their income. But there was no return for the business. Productivity didn't go up. Profits didn't increase (they decrease because expenses went up). And the business has no mechanism to pay back the debt....should their credit rating change? I would say yes.

    The former example is akin to cutting taxes for producers, encouraging them to produce more, create more jobs, and grow the economy. The latter example is akin to Obama's stimulus packages and tax cuts which actually resulted in millions of people leaving the workforce, wages remaining stale, and GDP circling the toilet.

    Demand encourages people to produce more. Not their tax bill. This is why we don't see Ferrari Dealerships in Mogadishu even though the tax rate is really low, there's no demand for the product there since Somalia is one of the poorest countries in the world.


    We've already established that just over half of US workers make wages, at, near, or below the poverty level. I have gotten no inclinations from you that you are opposed to half of American workers making wages that are close to the poverty level, or well within the poverty level.

    Anyways, American are not happy with their poverty level wages. Like I said, why did Trump get elected? He got elected because he promised to bring back good paying jobs, right? I have yet to hear very many Trump people cite the huge tax cuts on billionaires as the main reasons they voted for him.

    I also, off topic, do not think kicking out Immigrants, so Americans can work in tobacco fields and slaughtering chickens was what they had in mind, unless Agriculture did a structural change in making these jobs from very low paying, to very high paying middle class jobs.

    The Americans want a return, of good paying, middle class jobs, and I do not think giving tax cuts, to the billionaires, is going to do that, unless you ENFORCE that they use their tax cut specifically to do that.

    If Trump passes $10 trillion in tax cuts (over the course of 10 years) mainly focused on billionaires, our deficit this year was $552 billion in 2016, do you foresee the deficit not changing much?
    Last edited by JimmyS1985; 03-03-2017 at 10:38 AM.
  71. #5771
    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    Anyways, American are not happy with their poverty level wages. Like I said, why did Trump get elected? He got elected because he promised to bring back good paying jobs, right? I have yet to hear very many Trump people cite the huge tax cuts on billionaires as the main reasons they voted for him.
    Dude....where do you think jobs come from?

    Also, you've gotten exactly what you wanted for the last 8 years, and it went poorly. Obama extended the Bush tax cuts for everyone except those making over 400K/year. Those making over 400K saw their taxes go up. He also raised taxes on many industries related to healthcare in order to pay for Obamacare. Finally, he increased entitlement spending tremendously, effectively giving a raise to the working class.

    What was the result? People left teh workforce. Unemployment. Stale wages. GDP sucks. Massive government borrowing without an increase in production to pay for it.

    Hillary ran on a continuation of those policies and she got trounced by a guy that half the country believes is a misogynist, racist, criminal xenophobe.

    What will it take to convince you that tax & spend liberalism is a shitty way to run an economy?
    Last edited by BananaStand; 03-03-2017 at 10:51 AM.
  72. #5772
    1945-1981 convinced me that it was a superior way to run an economy. In the 1950's we had tax rates of 91% on top marginal earned. CEO's didn't get 400x the pay of the average American worker. We had strong unions, we had lots of good paying jobs. In 1963 the largest employer was GM.


    Adjust for 2013 $'s and that's a low skill, GM job, that required maybe not even a high school education, got paid $50 an hour, with benefits.

    In 2013, the largest employer was Walmart. In 2013, the average part time employee at Walmart got paid $8.86 an hour. And we wonder, where our Middle class have gone in the past 50 years.

    I can say Obama though, my family's never been wealthier thanks to how he ran the economy. We have a lot of capital in the market. I hate to share my life story, because it comes off as bragging. My mom dabbled in the stock market for a few years, but never "fully" invested. When she retired in 2007, instead of taking larger payments as part of her retirement package, she took a lump sum, of I think it was tax free money since it was retirement related, and could only be used for investing. I'd have to ask her the details, but she doesn't like me disclosing financial details of our family.

    In fact her new nickname, over these past years, around the house is "Money Bags" and "The Witch of Wallstreet" because she's very frugal and for an ordinary person, did very good in the market.

    Finally in February of 2009, she pulled the trigger, and dumped a 6 figure sum of money into the market. She did this in part, because she believed Obama's economics were superior, and there's history to that, the market does do better under Democrats than Republicans. it's just a historical fact. March of 2009, the DOW hit a historical low, of around 6,800.

    Today, we still have our stock holdings, with trades along the way, and we've done quite well over these past 8 years. DOW is trading at 20,000, in besides the recent run up in the market under Trump, Obama damn near tripled the market. We didn't lift a finger beyond a few clicks of the mouse on the stock trading site. We didn't "work" for all that additional wealth. We just rode the roller coaster.

    When I was a kid we were middle to upper middle class, now I wouldn't be surprised if we're in the top 10% of Americans. But a lot of that had to do with the fact, that Americans have fallen behind in my lifetime, and now there's a wider gap between rich and poor, than ever within my lifetime, or my parents lifetimes.

    The problem with the market going up, is the lions share of stocks is owned by very wealthy people, so even when the market goes up, Main Street America sees little benefit from it.
    Last edited by JimmyS1985; 03-03-2017 at 11:37 AM.
  73. #5773
    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    1945-1981 convinced me that it was a superior way to run an economy.
    Huh? You know things got so bad by the end of that period that we were rationing gas.

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    I can say Obama though, my family's never been wealthier thanks to how he ran the economy.
    So your mom bought low and sold high. Well played. I don't see how you can credit Obama for that though. The only reason the market was so low was because of a banking bubble that burst. Back in the 90's, democrats under Clinton decided that home ownership was a "right". And he implemented new regulations (or de-regulations, depending on how you look at it), that forced banks to make loans to people who were not creditworthy. In other words, Clinton forced the people at the top, to loan money to people at the bottom. Banks weren't allowed to discriminate based on someone's ability to pay, because that disproportionately affected poor people. And by poor people, we really mean black people. So the "racist" banks now had to be "inclusive" with their lending policies.

    Poor people, who couldn't pay their bills, didn't do much better when you gave them more bills to pay. And the bubble burst.

    Also, once Obama had the election sewn up (McCain was out of it long before November), investors saw tax hikes and government regulations on the horizon, and that triggered a sell off. It's no coincidence that the opposite happened when the market foresaw tax cuts and deregulation after a Trump win.

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyS1985 View Post
    The problem with the market going up, is the lions share of stocks is owned by very wealthy people, so even when the market goes up, Main Street America sees little benefit from it.
    False, the money still moves through the economy. You're right that securities increase faster than wages, and that disproportionally affects those who hold securities. Fine, if you don't like it, buy stock. But you're argument seems rooted in the premise that rich people just keep their money stuffed in a mattress doing nothing. Their money is out there, working, and fueling economic growth.
  74. #5774
    Quote Originally Posted by BananaStand View Post
    Huh? You know things got so bad by the end of that period that we were rationing gas.


    So your mom bought low and sold high. Well played. I don't see how you can credit Obama for that though. The only reason the market was so low was because of a banking bubble that burst. Back in the 90's, democrats under Clinton decided that home ownership was a "right". And he implemented new regulations (or de-regulations, depending on how you look at it), that forced banks to make loans to people who were not creditworthy. In other words, Clinton forced the people at the top, to loan money to people at the bottom. Banks weren't allowed to discriminate based on someone's ability to pay, because that disproportionately affected poor people. And by poor people, we really mean black people. So the "racist" banks now had to be "inclusive" with their lending policies.

    Poor people, who couldn't pay their bills, didn't do much better when you gave them more bills to pay. And the bubble burst.

    Also, once Obama had the election sewn up (McCain was out of it long before November), investors saw tax hikes and government regulations on the horizon, and that triggered a sell off. It's no coincidence that the opposite happened when the market foresaw tax cuts and deregulation after a Trump win.


    False, the money still moves through the economy. You're right that securities increase faster than wages, and that disproportionally affects those who hold securities. Fine, if you don't like it, buy stock. But you're argument seems rooted in the premise that rich people just keep their money stuffed in a mattress doing nothing. Their money is out there, working, and fueling economic growth.
    In 1945, our debt/gdp % was 120%. By 1981, it was 32%. By 2017, our debt-gdp it was back over 100% (I believe, do fact check me). I think we can both agree, that something changed dramatically in the US's timeline, to go from paying off the WWII debt, to getting our debt levels back up to close to what they had been in 1945.

    Despite the higher taxes of the era, we had a much more robust economy for the average citizen, a more powerful country, we pretty much annually balanced the budget. Except for a slight increase in debt under the Nixon/Ford term of 0.2%, between FDR/Truman's term from 45-49 and Carter's final year in office, every post WWII President of that era balanced the budget and helped pay down the WWII debt, and American's wages rose, when productivity and GDP per Capita went up, unlike what's been going on ever since 1981.

    1981-2017 is when Reaganomics got ushered in, and is still fiscal/economic policy, of Republicans to this day.

    The wealthy got a lot wealthier, but wages stagnated, we had the worst economic crisis in 80 years, we had a bad recession also in the 80's as well and a weak recovery. American manufacturing jobs were shipped overseas, and now due to automation aren't coming back.

    The repeal of the Glass-Steagal, as part of Republican doctrine on supporting all forms of deregulation, while signed off by Neoliberal Bill Clinton, was authored by 3 Republican Senators, and supported by the Republican majority of the time period.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gramm%...0%93Bliley_Act

    Besides Clinton, the Republicans wanted to repeal this act, that was made in response to massive bank failures of 30's. Within 10 years of it's repeal, what happened? Massive bank failures of 2000's. That is no mere coincidence.

    Also NAFTA, again Bill Clinton ditched what liberals wanted, it was the Republican party and Centrist Democrats, who largely supported NAFTA, and Bill went with them, now deemed a very bad trade deal for America. Up until Trump, Republicans always supported free trade, even if it meant the gutting of manufacturing jobs and union jobs in this country.

    "In the House, NAFTA passed 234-200; 132 Republicans and 102 Democrats voted in favor of it. The Senate approved NAFTA 61-38, with the backing of 34 Republicans and 27 Democrats."

    We've only balanced the budget 4x, in the last 36 years. That's a horrible track record, especially when juxtaposed to the time period of 1945-1981.

    If wealthy people getting wealthier, made everyone else wealthier, we wouldn't have 51% of US workers making a wage that leaves them in poverty or close to it at a time when the wealthy are the wealthiest they've been in roughly 90 years.

    By all means, I've lost, I have fuckin' lost. I mean believe me man, your economics has won, over the past 36 years. Trump, I assume, nothings happened so far, is going to pass further tax cuts on the wealthy, and we'll see how that plays out. Reagan he had an ok economy, but he increased the debt by 200% (#'s of dollars wise, not % of GDP) from what it was to achieve what he did. Then the Savings and Loans Crisis hit.

    Clinton put in a large tax increase on wealthy households in 1993. You can credit a good economy, and lower gas prices as well, but the fact remains that for 4 years out of Clinton's 8, the large tax increase that happened in his 1st year in office, was soon followed by the only stretch of time that we balanced the budget in the last 36 years. GWB got in, he passed 2 large tax cuts, and 2 big wars with no War tax to pay for them. America USE to finance it's wars, now we borrow money to finance our wars. And we haven't balanced a single budget since GWB's first year in office.

    Obama has not put in a large tax increase on the wealthy, except a 4% or so increase on households pulling in incomes over $450,000, and this was to pay for the ACA. And we've had an economic expansion creating over 10 million jobs over the past 8 years, and he lowered the deficit from the $1.6 trillion all time high of 2009, down to $552 billion today, a 66% decrease. I'm covered under the ACA. If the ACA gets repealed, what am I gonna do? I don't know, looks like my family will have to shovel more money to the Pharmaceutical industry and Healthcare industry for me to gain coverage again.

    That might be good for the CEO's who run the health insurance and pharmaceutical industry, but it won't be good for me as a citizen.
    Last edited by JimmyS1985; 03-03-2017 at 02:28 PM.
  75. #5775
    And I want to get one more thing out of the way, regarding the housing crisis, and bank failures of 2008-2011. Clearly you don't recall GWB's "Ownership Society".

    "The term appears to have been used originally by President Bush (for example in a speech February 20, 2003 in Kennesaw, Georgia) as a phrase to rally support for his tax-cut proposals (Pittsburgh Post - Gazette, Bush OKs Funding Bill for Fiscal '03, Feb 21, 2003 Scott Lindlaw). From 2004 Bush supporters described the ownership society in much broader and more ambitious terms, including specific policy proposals concerning home ownership, medicine, education and savings."

    He also wanted more Americans owning homes, regardless if they could afford them or not.


    "We can put light where there's darkness, and hope where there's despondency in this country. And part of it is working together as a nation to encourage folks to own their own home."

    - President George W. Bush, Oct. 15, 2002
    Last edited by JimmyS1985; 03-03-2017 at 02:48 PM.

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