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I think I'll post my thoughts here about 3betting, cold calling and folding. I get the ToP idea that we bluff with the very best hands we would fold. So our 3bet light range needs to be hands w/ some value but that we don't want to call for value.
In LP with 100bb effective stacks, we have the following PFR's (MP).
LAGG = PFR 20
TAGG = PFR 12
Nit = PFR 6
For the LAGG, we can cold call a pretty wide range for value. All pp's we don't 3bet, KJ+, ATs+, AJ+ and maybe QJs / JTs. Suppose the LAGG folds 50% to 3bets and 4bets 20% This means he 4bets the top 4% of his range and plays 5 - 10% for a call. Here we can 3bet TT+ for value, imo.
So with the LAGG, we win 4bb's half the time, get our money in with lots of value in a big pot 30% of the time, and have to ditch half our range to a 4bet 20%.
For the TAGG, we can't call as much for value. We'll set hunt 22-TT and call with KQ and AJ, basically. Suppose the TAGG folds only 40% to 3bet (which seems typical for lots of the regs in my game) and 4bets about 2%. Now, at 50nl, I'm finally bumping into villains who call 3bets w/ AA. They mainly 4bet AK, KK and some QQ. So the 3bet call range is about 7% of hands, that includes AA but not QQ, KK or AK (for simplicity - in actuality, each of these hands is in each range at different times). That leaves villains calling 3bets w/ AA, 88 - JJ, AJ, AQ, KQ and some suited Ace/broadway combos. Hands like TT and certainly JJ can play well against that range. So if a TAGG can't fold to a 3bet, we end doing well.
For the NIT, we probably can't 3bet him light. Some nits will fold half their hands preflop to a 3bet, but you can't make it pay enough. We'll just 3bet him for value w/ KK and maybe even just flat AK. For cold calling, we'll just set hunt with 22-TT, call with KQs, AQ and AJs, and play JJ and QQ very carefully postflop.
All right, I've gotta get the kids to bed. I've put down what I'm thinking about ranges. I will think about what types of hands we could 3bet light in different situations.
I'm realizing that while a wide 4bet range forces us to fold some, it "scrapes" off some premium hands so our 3bet range plays better against the call 3bet range. And we want to look for villains who call the 3bet with a wide range, then we can expand our 3betting for value.
How and where to 3bet light, IDK, but I'll be thinking about it and post it in here soon.
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