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Originally Posted by NightGizmo
OK, I don't know if this is right, but here are my thoughts -- correct me if this is spewy.
If your plan is to get all of the money into the middle regardless of the turn card, then you should shove now. If he's chasing the flush with a single heart in his hand, you deny him the proper odds and give him the opportunity to make a big mistake.
What range do you think he takes this line? Let's say TT+, AK/AJ/AQ/KQ with at least one heart, maybe KhJh. Pokerstove says you have 51% equity. Get it in now.
Board: Qh Th 9h
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 51.471% 49.87% 01.60% 19255 618.00 { 9d9s }
Hand 1: 48.529% 46.93% 01.60% 18119 618.00 { TT+, AhKh, AhJh, KJs, AcKh, AdKh, AhKc, AhKd, AhKs, AsKh, AcQh, AdQh, AsQh, KcQh, KdQh, KhQc, KhQd, KhQs, KsQh }
I would put his range at
Ace high FD's
Any made flush
Any set
TT+ with a heart
Giving me 51% equity
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
21,780 games 0.005 secs 4,356,000 games/sec
Board: 9h Th Qh
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 51.026% 50.21% 00.82% 10935 178.50 { 9c9s }
Hand 1: 48.974% 48.15% 00.82% 10488 178.50 { AcAh, AdAh, AhAs, KcKh, KdKh, QcQh, QdQh, JcJh, JdJh, JhJs, TT, AhKh, AhQh, AhJh, KhQh, AhKc, AhKd, AhKs, AhQc, AhQd, AhQs, AhJc, AhJd, AhJs }
My plan is not to get all the money in regardless of turn card. If I call the flop raise and the turn is a heart and he gets aggro I probably fold.
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