raising the flop with your reasoning is pretty bad. just because you believe that he'll be cbetting a lot here doesn't mean that we have to turn our hand with a lot of showdown value into a bluff (well, we will probably also get value from worse kings and draws maybe some 8x/pp's, but i'm assuming your talking about raising the flop mainly to get him to fold). his range isn't really as wide as they come, but you pointed that out in your preflop analysis. I'm not sure why you dismiss sets from his range on the flop. i think you need to add Kx and some of the smaller Ax to his checking range on the turn (i think by the borderline starting hands you were referred to you meant his air with little equity that just cbet and checked turn).