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3 betting discourages anyone else setmining or coming along and making it a multiway pot. At 10NL theres always a decent chance if you just call the raise that others will come along, and 10's unless flopping a set usually does poorly multiway. HU hes floating you every time with his missed Ax hands, which becomes really profitable with your 10's in a 3b pot, not to mention other situations, like chasing a naked flush draw, just potting any flop good for your hand and bad for his range should show sick +EV.
Also, I think you underestimate the whales UTG raising range, while its not strong by any means, his PFR is 24%, I'd be expecting him to raise all suited Ax hands, all broadway hands and suited versions QJ and up, and (maybe?) some suited connectors and pocket pairs. Hes not raising here with 'any two'.
But yeah, as others have said, you can iso the whale HU with position with a made hand that is stronger than his overall range, I think its more +EV to 3b here for vaule, especially since we have position, even if we have a bad flop we can still play our hand well. Post flop I agree with you and everyone else, just get as much money in on that flop and keep pounding it in. As played check river, you might have to play with pokerstove but my gut feeling is it'd be a minus EV thin vaule bet.
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