Can anybody tell me

why this is a clear value bet? Villian is 47/2


$2/$4 No Limit Holdem
9 Players

Stacks:
UTG ($502.82)
UTG+1 ($496.20)
MP1 ($400)
Hero (MP2) ($564.83)
MP3 ($280.15)
CO ($301.10)
BTN ($430.64)
SB ($268)
BB ($413.04)

Pre-Flop: ($6, 9 players) Hero is MP2
3 folds, Hero raises to $12 ($552.83), MP3 calls $12 ($268.15), CO calls $12 ($289.10), 1 fold, SB calls $10 ($256.00), 1 fold

Flop: ($52, 4 players)
SB checks ($256.00), Hero bets $39 ($513.83), 2 folds, SB calls $39 ($217.00)

Turn: ($130, 2 players)
SB bets $32 ($185.00), Hero raises to $129 ($384.83), SB calls $97 ($88.00)

River: ($388, 2 players)
SB checks ($88.00), Hero bets $88 ($296.83) ...

Because villains calling range has below 50% equity.

Because his line looks weak as hell, he's a short stack fish and villain is likely to call with any Tx

I would have shipped the turn. Curious why you didn't.

That said, may as well stick it in because he's a tard who's calling the turn with a wide range and might even call the river without a pair.

God I miss epic AJo call-downs.

these are weak answers.

It's a clear value bet...

Pre flop because we have the nuts,
Flop because villain checks, meaning he very probably hasn't got a set and only two straight combos are not afraid of the spades, while there's tons of value from pps and fds,
Turn because villain bets like a girl, probably hoping to see a cheap river, thus his range is hugely fd and pp heavy, ie hands that we beat and that call and want to continue,
River because villain is married to the pot and is not folding any pair, while hands that beat us usually shove, especially at river with his remaining stack and pot size.

If we're behind in this spot like ever, I'd be surprised. Also equally surprised if he folds. Seems pretty standard to me.

Originally Posted by OngBonga

It's a clear value bet...

Pre flop because we have the nuts,
Flop because villain checks, meaning he very probably hasn't got a set and only two straight combos are not afraid of the spades, while there's tons of value from pps and fds,
Turn because villain bets like a girl, probably hoping to see a cheap river, thus his range is hugely fd and pp heavy, ie hands that we beat and that call and want to continue,
River because villain is married to the pot and is not folding any pair, while hands that beat us usually shove, especially at river with his remaining stack and pot size.

If we're behind in this spot like ever, I'd be surprised. Also equally surprised if he folds. Seems pretty standard to me.

more or less. though to clarify, on the turn he'll never have stronger than top pair otherwise he'd go with it. making him have very few combinations of 2 pair or stronger hands, while thinking he is committed to call with any made hand.

Originally Posted by OngBonga

If we're behind in this spot like ever, I'd be surprised.

He could have 37, 47 or 57 lol!

this is why i probably still suck at poker...

OOP i'd be c/c-ing this thinking he has some bluffs when i check ( busted FD, air) and he is value betting (?!) Tx besides his 6x.

being IP i am checking back most times w/o notes he can call worse then mine.

ongbonga had the best answer, yet doesn't play higher than 10nl

#cantbelife

Originally Posted by EasyPoker

ongbonga had the best answer, yet doesn't play higher than 10nl

#cantbelife

Glad your back dude

I don't have a problem extracting value from easy-to-read fish. There's less of them at 25nl+.

Originally Posted by kickass

Glad your back dude

Glad you're doing so well btw.

Originally Posted by OngBonga

There's less of them at 25nl+.

Sigh, I miss the days of Party 25NL where it played like Zynga poker.