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AA facing raise on a wet flop (10NL)

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  1. #1

    Default AA facing raise on a wet flop (10NL)

    Villain is 12/0/1 over 26 hands. He is a silver star which, at 10NL, means he's somewhat of a regular.

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (7 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    Button ($9.85)
    SB ($6.50)
    BB ($11)
    UTG ($9.90)
    Hero (MP1) ($10)
    MP2 ($10.80)
    CO ($18.10)

    Preflop: Hero is MP1 with A, A
    UTG calls $0.10, Hero bets $0.50, MP2 calls $0.50, 2 folds, SB calls $0.45, 1 fold, UTG calls $0.40

    Flop: ($2.10) K, 8, 10 (4 players)
    SB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $1.50, MP2 raises to $3.50, 2 folds, Hero ???

    I figure his range to be something like AK,T8,TT,88,QhJh,Jh9h,9h7h. Is this range reasonable? Including non-flush straight draws doesn't change my equity all that much. Excluding AK, however, does. Should AK be in there?

    With the range as assigned, a shove is +EV, right?
  2. #2
    Vinland's Avatar
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    you can prob take T8, 97 and possibly J9 from his range. I doubt he calls pre with that...
  3. #3
    If he's passive pre flop then yes AK can be in that range, add in KQ as well. On the flop do you know anymore more about this guy's tendencies, will he stack off with just a king?

    I'd shove here, like to hear what others think though.

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