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Ok so, for that TT hand:
- He opened UTG, but he's unknown. His stats at the time were 21/12 over 24 hands, and we didnt have any other notes on him. I typically give people the benefit of the doubt for being a halfway decent player off the bat since its less expensive to fold than it is to make a bad call down vs someone who might be a good reg or w/e. For his opening range I'll give him like AJs+, AQo+, KQs, 77+ and maybe some random SCs like 89s/9Ts
I actually do think he'll double barrel with a FD a decent amount of the time. I actually think he'll double barrel quite a bit of his range on this turn, especially if he has any equity, (an overcard, picked up a SD, FD, etc) since we can be floating IP with a lot of stuff. Like its such a good flop to cbet with ATC since its really hard to hit unless we have 55+ or Kx. So he probably expects us to be floating a decent bit anyways, and if he double barrels its going to make us go away a pretty good portion of the time. And he doesn't know if I'll continue with 66/88/99 on the turn to the barrel (some nits won't) so if we do fold those, then it makes it an even easier bet for him there.
On the river, checking back is definitely the best play. 77 got there, 99 got there, Kx could be inducing a bet from a missed FD, and his FDs are always c/f unless he decides to do some crazy bluff c/r. I probably check back JJ/QQ here too since I'm a nit, despite what I said in the video. There's just not enough stuff he can call with thats worse.
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