|
Originally Posted by ImSavy
If he is folding his blind 81% of the time his range is going to be reasonably strong. He can't have AKQc so his flush draws are reasonably limited due to your kicker, so I wouldn't be massively worried about a flush. JTs is maybe in his range, for the straights and one flush.
Don't forget things like A2s & A3s are probably in his range, he has a few two pair type hands.
I don't think I' m folding here, I don't love life calling but I don't hate it either and I think we gain quite a lot of information about how he plays certain hands like straight/ flush draws and low sets, so I call and make a note.
If you're folding here are the only hands you're calling a bet with sets or better? Or do you fold some sets too? If so you're going to be massively exploitable as you don't really ever have any straights or flushes here. Only really KJs for the flush.
If you know he can fold a weak flush here (which I don't think he has anyway) then I quite like shoving over the top if you'd play some flush draws like this as you have the Kc, but you'd have to work out how profitable that is as I' m never sure.
Hmm, I hadn't considered A2s-A3s. If I take JTo out of his range, which I don't think he can get to the river with, PS gives me;
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
14 games 0.000 secs 2,800 games/sec
Board: 3c Kh Ac 2h Qc
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 71.429% 71.43% 00.00% 10 0.00 { AhKc }
Hand 1: 28.571% 28.57% 00.00% 4 0.00 { 33, AQs, A3s-A2s, JcTc, AQo }
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Equity vastly changes just by including JTo in his range, although as stated, I do find this fairly unlikely;
Board: 3c Kh Ac 2h Qc
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 38.462% 38.46% 00.00% 10 0.00 { AhKc }
Hand 1: 61.538% 61.54% 00.00% 16 0.00 { 33, AQs, A3s-A2s, JcTc, AQo, JTo }
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
I think looking at it this way, given villain's range, it's an easy call.
|