|
[10NL] Q-High Flush OTT; Doomed OTR?
$0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem
PokerStars
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com
Stacks:
UTG ($10.30) 103bb
UTG+1 ($10.18) 102bb
CO ($12.65) 127bb - VPIP:21, PFR:13, 3B:2, FcB:1/1, AF:2.3, Hands:99
BTN ($3.87) 39bb - VPIP:52, PFR:4, 3B:3, FcB:2/7, AF:0.9, Hands:108
SB ($3.98) 40bb
DoubleJ (BB) ($13.80) 138bb
Pre-Flop: ($0.15, 6 players) DoubleJ is BB
2 folds, CO raises to $0.30, BTN calls $0.30, 1 fold, DoubleJ calls $0.20
i'm getting 3.75:1 on my call and BTN is a 52/4 Fish.
Flop: ($0.95, 3 players)
DoubleJ bets $0.90, CO calls $0.90, BTN calls $0.90
I lead out here w/ FD + 2 overs, looking to get it all in v BTN if i hit, but CO comes along as well.
I put him on FDs, mebbe an OESD, mebbe a few PPs?
Turn: ($3.65, 3 players)
OK, so i've hit, but now what? i can bet for value vs. BTN as i'm massivley ahead of his likely calling range, but CO's continuing range is ~75% A-High or K-High Flushes now.
If he did float some PPs, there's a decent chance that he'll fold these now leaving me HU w/ BTN, so i bet. Spewy?
DoubleJ bets $2.90, CO calls $2.90, BTN folds
O bollocks.
River: ($9.45, 2 players)
DoubleJ ???
O bollocks, part 2. I beat about 1 combo out of 13 here.
From his POV, if he opened with KsXs pre, he'd have about 28% equity vs. {AsJs,AsTs,As6s,As4s,As2s,QsJs,QsTs} and a shove would need a breakeven of 32%, but i don't think he's folding 2nd Nuts here.
|