|
Originally Posted by Renton
First of all 1/2 with capped buy in will probably have rake that is too high for anyone to beat more than barely, especially in Australia which has some of the highest rake games in the world as far as I am aware. As for the hands:
1) He could have J9, AA, KK, loads of flush draws. If you bet 20 into 40 and he raised you to pot, that would be 100, which only leaves 290 for the turn if you call. I'd probably just jam this, you have 4 outs against the nuts, you only really hate to run into set or QJ. I could see folding if you think he's more likely to call with KK or a draw, cause then you're in really bad shape. Up to your reads, man. I don't like flatting because you're only really happy on 4 cards and the pot is already big.
2) Please don't post bad beat hands. If he's the type of player that jams 53 here for 300 into 100, then you'd obviously be happy to put in thousands of dollars with this hand on the flop vs his range.
3) Turn is definitely a call for the price here, but there's a good case for you to just jam these guys on the flop, while your hand has the most equity. It could be best even if you're certain UTG doesn't fold Ax, because if you call, he will force you to stack off with lower equity when the turn blanks off.
4) Raising this pre is a judgement call, if you think they never limp/fold (most live players rarely do), I like overlimping. Your pot size is screwed up here on the flop, you said you raised to 18 and got 2 calls, so thats a pot of 72, if you face a bet of of 40 you'll be getting just under 3:1 on the call. I still definitely call with oesd+bfd. On the turn, clear fold.
5) What's his stack size? Definitely start off by calling.
Cheers for the feedback, very valuable.
Yeh the rake is pretty high. The 1/3 games are capped at $200 buy in, 2/4 at $400 - they're usually the levels I play when I go in. It's rare not to see people that bust buy in multiple times so there's usually a decent amount of money on the table.
1) I did think flatting just leaves me with the same decision on the turn, and I was sure he would call a push with any flush or straight draw (and definitely with an overpair). Ended up folding which felt really weak but I ran some ranges into pokerstove and even very best case scenario for what I thought his range was I was only 55%.
2) sorry, shouldn't have posted the final hand. I guess the question was before I knew what he turned over is calling such a huge overbet EV+ if your read on your opponent is loose/ mostly passive. Its not an uncommon situation at these games - if they all ship it with crap like that I'm obviously very happy but I can't quite work out how often they're holding junk and how often the goods given how loose the preflop calls usually are.
3) is it still worth jamming the flop with a known calling station in the hand? He's probably got my pair covered and would call with 2nd pair or better on this board
5) He had $150 on the flop before the bet, so $100 behind after. Pot was around $100 after he bet. If I call there's $150 in the pot on the turn. Given those sizes better to shove that flop?
|