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River Value Or Chicken??

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  1. #1

    Default River Value Or Chicken??

    Live $60/120

    UTG: Absolutely horrible
    UTG+1: Good, thinking player
    CO: Asian kid... can get out of line post flop (we have lots of history)

    UTG limps, UTG+1 raises (could easily be trying to isolate - range can be pretty wide). HJ and CO calls. I call OTB w/ QJ clubs.

    FLOP (5 plrs)
    AJ2 (one club)

    UTG checks, UTG+1 bets, CO calls. I RAISE! UTG+1, CO call.

    TURN (3 plrs)
    9c (AJ2) - giving me flush draw.

    UTG+1 checks, CO donks. That play smells fishy. Because we have history, I "feel" like he's full of bull$$$. His lead makes no sense at all. If he's legit, I have outs, and I put xtra pressure on UTG+1. I RAISE! UTG+1 folds, CO calls.

    RIVER (HU)
    Jd (AJ29)

    I missed my flush, but I tripped-up. CO C/R...

    Do I 3-town or call?

    THIS KID IS NEVER FOLDING A WORSE HAND!

    What does he have? 2's/full... or worse J.
    He doesn't have AJ, AA, 99's/full, J's/full.
    "We don't stop playing because we get old. We get old because we stop playing!" -Doyle
  2. #2
    Ragnar4's Avatar
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    Sep 2005
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    I like a re-pop here. I think there is tons of value there.
    I think CO has a bad ace at worst and 2 pair at best.
    The Dunning–Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which unskilled individuals suffer from illusory superiority, mistakenly rating their ability much higher than average. This bias is attributed to a metacognitive inability of the unskilled to recognize their mistakes

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