|
I'd argue that "luck" and "streaks" are illusory, concepts that we overlay on raw experience in an attempt to make sense of random variance. I'd further argue that you should play POFC exactly the same whether you think you are "running good" or "running bad"--however, I'd argue that this isn't true in most other forms of poker because people's perception of you matters in games like Hold'em and Omaha. Still, POFC is all about probability. If you make the play with the highest expectation every time, you will show the highest profit over time. Any deviation from the optimal play costs you money--yes, in a given hand, specific cards will fall, and many times a lower-percentage play will outperform a higher-percentage play in a specific instance, but since you can't know what cards are going to fall, always making the most +EV play will do best in the long run.
POFC is so volatile that you will have huge swings. Play for 5 or 6 hours and you will often have periods when you lose or win 100-200 bets fairly quickly. But if you let your decision-making be influenced by short-term variance, it will cost you in the long run.
|