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It's shorthanded? that makes it an even clearer bet.
On the flop before we get a wider range:
Board: Jc 4h 6c
Dead:
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 29.9631 % 29.38% 00.59% { 5d3c }
Hand 2: 18.3347 % 17.63% 00.70% { 55+, A2s+, K3s+, Q6s+, J7s+, T7s+, 97s+, 87s, A4o+, K8o+, Q9o+, J9o+, T9o }
Hand 3: 18.0111 % 17.29% 00.73% { 44+, A2s+, K2s+, Q4s+, J7s+, T7s+, 97s+, 87s, A3o+, K7o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T9o }
Hand 4: 17.5876 % 16.88% 00.71% { 44+, A2s+, K2s+, Q4s+, J7s+, T7s+, 97s+, 87s, A3o+, K7o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T8o+ }
Hand 5: 16.1036 % 15.36% 00.75% { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J2s+, T2s+, 92s+, 84s+, 74s+, 63s+, 53s+, 43s, A2o+, K2o+, Q3o+, J5o+, T6o+, 96o+, 86o+, 76o }
Once it's 4 handed:
Board: Jc 4h 6c
Dead:
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 32.8257 % 32.51% 00.33% { 5d3c }
Hand 2: 22.9541 % 22.15% 00.82% { 55+, A2s+, K3s+, Q6s+, J7s+, T7s+, 97s+, 87s, A4o+, K8o+, Q9o+, J9o+, T9o }
Hand 3: 22.3379 % 21.53% 00.83% { 44+, A2s+, K2s+, Q4s+, J7s+, T7s+, 97s+, 87s, A3o+, K7o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T9o }
Hand 4: 21.8833 % 21.09% 00.82% { 44+, A2s+, K2s+, Q4s+, J7s+, T7s+, 97s+, 87s, A3o+, K7o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T8o+ }
You know these percentages, I dont have to post them but figured WTH. You have roughly 32% equity 4 way, pump the draw, its +EV. On the turn:
Board: Jc 4h 6c Kc
Dead:
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 18.8641 % 18.87% 00.00% { 5d3c }
Hand 2: 27.5999 % 26.98% 00.63% { 55+, A2s+, K3s+, Q6s+, J7s+, T7s+, 97s+, 87s, A4o+, K8o+, Q9o+, J9o+, T9o }
Hand 3: 27.2151 % 26.59% 00.63% { 44+, A2s+, K2s+, Q4s+, J7s+, T7s+, 97s+, 87s, A3o+, K7o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T9o }
Hand 4: 26.3207 % 25.72% 00.61% { 44+, A2s+, K2s+, Q4s+, J7s+, T7s+, 97s+, 87s, A3o+, K7o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T8o+ }
The bet on the turn is -EV, but you've got to bet the turn if you pump it on the flop. As played, then you can't bet the turn. Once I get the results of the hand then I will put them in and recheck the equity percentages.
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